Movies · resolved market
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ec16fa75bc05ef9f9fd786f7122bdec55e708586cee5cbe059fc1b297bead17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,334,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,334,482 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0926…4624backed Yes | 1c | 165,216$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 0c | 145,860$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.82 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 1c | 137,733$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.4 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -92.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 0c | 128,849$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.19 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +208.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 75,602$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.53 | 145 | 5.5%8 W · 137 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 1c | 38,727$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.19 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 0c | 35,327$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.19 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5078…992cbacked Yes | 0c | 29,129$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 0c | 27,760$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffe…538ebacked Yes | 1c | 24,000$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.77 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf8…f7b4backed Yes | 0c | 22,967$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 0c | 22,953$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.38 | 98 | 3.1%3 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 21,822$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 1c | 21,695$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.87 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…a587backed Yes | 1c | 20,871$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Yes | 2c | 20,352$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.14 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…6cbebacked Yes | 1c | 20,121$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.74 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…b153backed Yes | 0c | 19,990$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…c27dbacked Yes | 1c | 19,274$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…d87fbacked Yes | 1c | 18,206$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 17,897$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.74 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 1c | 17,322$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes | 0c | 16,929$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 41 | 0%0 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Yes | 0c | 16,009$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…9b58backed Yes | 1c | 15,943$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a2…a522backed Yes | 1c | 15,303$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x115a…e4a6backed Yes | 1c | 12,096$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.65 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e80…e7a0backed Yes | 1c | 11,712$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 0c | 11,702$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ee…e6a0backed Yes | 1c | 10,995$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f1…3e4fbacked Yes | 1c | 10,680$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.06 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba9…0516backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a06dbacked Yes | 1c | 9,534$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f24…7db7backed Yes | 0c | 9,167$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd48…315bbacked Yes | 1c | 9,100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…9d19backed Yes | 1c | 9,100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Yes | 1c | 8,672$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.03 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 0c | 8,443$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…6cb2backed Yes | 1c | 8,318$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…b7d0backed Yes | 1c | 8,043$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.06 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -69%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef4…e2e9backed Yes | 1c | 7,999$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 7,834$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddde…2e88backed Yes | 1c | 7,820$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…b148backed Yes | 1c | 7,623$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f3…3818backed Yes | 1c | 7,620$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65f0…9fdebacked Yes | 1c | 7,610$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46d…514ebacked Yes | 1c | 7,590$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 7,323$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7099…1c59backed Yes | 1c | 7,082$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0e…57bebacked Yes | 1c | 7,027$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…7061backed Yes | 0c | 7,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…3a5bbacked Yes | 1c | 6,947$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 1c | 6,877$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bf…8b30backed Yes | 1c | 6,816$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403b…5007backed Yes | 1c | 6,764$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…e507backed Yes | 0c | 6,661$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…a5b9backed Yes | 1c | 6,429$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfa…b205backed Yes | 0c | 6,201$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…4ef4backed Yes | 0c | 6,200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 1c | 6,075$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 6,061$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…d7edbacked Yes | 1c | 6,050$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…61f2backed Yes | 0c | 6,020$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a38…2a21backed Yes | 1c | 6,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8d…0002backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 6,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 5,828$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 1c | 5,501$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 123 | 1.6%2 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c5…1127backed Yes | 0c | 5,500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,318$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 1c | 5,203$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 116 | 4.3%5 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Yes | 1c | 5,180$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +167%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked Yes | 1c | 5,138$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49bd…fddfbacked Yes | 1c | 5,120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…aecebacked Yes | 1c | 5,102$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd419…e475backed Yes | 1c | 5,054$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e52…19acbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…01afbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…717ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,895$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…89a0backed Yes | 1c | 4,829$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…4671backed Yes | 0c | 4,771$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 4,638$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 111 | 4.5%5 W · 106 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…e7bebacked Yes | 0c | 4,550$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…8b90backed Yes | 0c | 4,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…ee18backed Yes | 1c | 4,377$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…87b6backed Yes | 0c | 4,205$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…7b0ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc6…d113backed Yes | 1c | 4,183$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,160$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…a8efbacked Yes | 1c | 4,148$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…6414backed Yes | 0c | 4,104$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc2…f8aabacked Yes | 0c | 4,025$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7a…491abacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7c…1593backed Yes | 1c | 3,977$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe335…cb1bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,863$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…4c9cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,792$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 57 | 10.5%6 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…a403backed Yes | 0c | 3,780$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,619$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 74 | 6.8%5 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will A House of Dynamite win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Jay Kelly win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will No Other Choice win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Rental Family win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Wicked: For Good win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.