TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0926…4624

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Golf, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 51 out of 100; worst Middle East at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT244.2%1 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-78.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+407.9%+$2,243.62
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Max Homa win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.75
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Nick Taylor win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Sungjae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$792Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$792
Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 24 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-85.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Kate Hudson win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Joachim Trier win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.18
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,630Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,630
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Sentimental Value win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$124.12
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-86.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.22
Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 0 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.95
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XRP reach $2.20 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.