Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18f73aca12019d3fc2a03e7af28f6ebcec12634413819605d7cfa3db20073f26

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,649,950
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,527,935

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,649,950 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 878 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa8b9…775dbacked Yes	5c	736,205$33,634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,634	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	4c	482,339$17,402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,402.46	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1c5…cbd0backed Yes	4c	317,194$12,821 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,821.48	25	48%12 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd190…38f9backed Yes	4c	293,835$11,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,116.06	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Yes	4c	180,181$6,637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,636.78	127	29.9%38 W · 89 L	+7.3wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	4c	97,488$4,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,111.29	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	1c	85,564$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.65	170	5.9%10 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa4e…315ebacked Yes	3c	66,672$2,208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,208.2	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	15cpaid	+164%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes	4c	55,778$2,188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,187.88	727	22.7%165 W · 562 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes	4c	49,614$1,922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,922.08	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	+3.4wins	+0.12per pick	5cpaid	+141.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37d3…709abacked Yes	4c	47,672$1,962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,962.19	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	17cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes	4c	46,796$1,772 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,771.83	152	9.9%15 W · 137 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	2c	44,715$992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$992.49	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed Yes	1c	42,176$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.98	46	6.5%3 W · 43 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	16cpaid	-88.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb796…5060backed Yes	5c	33,296$1,659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,659.29	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed Yes	4c	31,323$1,287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,286.91	159	37.7%60 W · 99 L	+7.9wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes	4c	31,296$1,395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,395	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+3.1wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes	0c	28,346$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.69	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+8.4wins	+0.06per pick	2cpaid	+90.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes	6c	27,504$1,579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,578.9	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a8…a539backed Yes	4c	26,865$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98bf…c046backed Yes	4c	25,509$977 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$977.34	58	44.8%26 W · 32 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8944…41d5backed Yes	3c	25,048$795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$794.92	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bac…5b80backed Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	0c	24,230$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.34	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8f…870ebacked Yes	4c	24,160$971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$971.2	82	28%23 W · 59 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x874a…4593backed Yes	2c	23,948$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.46per pick	4cpaid	+728.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0df…69c5backed Yes	4c	22,534$866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$865.81	40	25%10 W · 30 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadef…02ccbacked Yes	5c	20,044$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	77	23.4%18 W · 59 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccc8…e61cbacked Yes	4c	20,035$849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$848.93	71	9.9%7 W · 64 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes	4c	20,000$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760	178	42.7%76 W · 102 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes	4c	19,855$781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780.63	175	13.7%24 W · 151 L	-19.8wins	-0.11per pick	25cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1867…bb84backed Yes	4c	18,295$739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$739.18	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	+13%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes	1c	18,177$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.57	151	27.8%42 W · 109 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes	4c	17,975$701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$701.11	736	26.5%195 W · 541 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…062dbacked Yes	4c	15,994$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.18per pick	32cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed Yes	1c	15,009$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.59	293	33.8%99 W · 194 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fa…1a63backed Yes	2c	14,948$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.08	58	20.7%12 W · 46 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b81…97cdbacked Yes	0c	14,640$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	20cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d6…966bbacked Yes	0c	14,444$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.55	43	4.7%2 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-77%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbd7…8772backed Yes	1c	14,354$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.18	55	18.2%10 W · 45 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-54.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46dd…1d83backed Yes	5c	13,857$642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$642.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26b1…6343backed Yes	3c	13,364$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-57%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6094…3bd9backed Yes	3c	12,737$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.13	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae02…21e8backed Yes	4c	12,529$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…26aebacked Yes	5c	12,502$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb6…735cbacked Yes	4c	12,479$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.87	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+74.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04c0…4f3dbacked Yes	4c	12,155$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	76	32.9%25 W · 51 L	+5.7wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	+1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xab24…5cdbbacked Yes	4c	11,976$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Yes	5c	11,806$532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$531.68	349	64.5%225 W · 124 L	+73.5wins	+0.21per pick	43cpaid	+123.1%equal weight	72+0.20 edge/pick
0x616a…5083backed Yes	4c	11,675$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.13	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-66.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78a8…2d5fbacked Yes	6c	11,575$643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$643.25	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16dc…adeebacked Yes	1c	11,409$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.27	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59bf…1357backed Yes	1c	11,261$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f4d…c81dbacked Yes	4c	11,084$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441.57	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes	6c	10,761$619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.26	301	17.9%54 W · 247 L	-11.2wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes	4c	10,221$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	191	24.6%47 W · 144 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Yes	4c	10,000$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf457…1c2ebacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes	4c	10,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	193	32.1%62 W · 131 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdadf…db89backed Yes	4c	10,000$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+84.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ae…6643backed Yes	4c	9,919$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd344…6862backed Yes	4c	9,524$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14be…3296backed Yes	1c	9,101$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	+5.0wins	+0.10per pick	19cpaid	+54.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc12c…da6ebacked Yes	4c	9,004$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.9	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Yes	1c	9,000$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	49	4.1%2 W · 47 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5964…776bbacked Yes	4c	8,650$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	94	43.6%41 W · 53 L	+5.5wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0807…443abacked Yes	4c	8,093$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-86.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0049…3a9abacked Yes	0c	7,726$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.69	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc152…3e66backed Yes	4c	7,646$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.85	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes	4c	7,023$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	72	29.2%21 W · 51 L	+6.1wins	+0.09per pick	21cpaid	+62.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2d0…6332backed Yes	4c	7,014$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.05	45	17.8%8 W · 37 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Yes	4c	7,001$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.87	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97a3…ba26backed Yes	4c	6,942$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef77…6131backed Yes	4c	6,922$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.82	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Yes	1c	6,786$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	249	17.7%44 W · 205 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	4c	6,067$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	161	16.1%26 W · 135 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b7d…459ebacked Yes	1c	6,000$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Yes	4c	6,000$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8be4…b795backed Yes	9c	5,986$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544.68	66	33.3%22 W · 44 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27f3…31ecbacked Yes	4c	5,937$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	76	38.2%29 W · 47 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd759…c0dfbacked Yes	4c	5,882$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.79	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0c2…8915backed Yes	3c	5,792$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	16cpaid	+98.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eb8…d5a8backed Yes	4c	5,761$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.34	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x088e…bc56backed Yes	0c	5,744$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x654a…cc32backed Yes	7c	5,714$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	+10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab02…94eebacked Yes	3c	5,598$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	74	50%37 W · 37 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3164…02babacked Yes	1c	5,541$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	4cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1b…5a5abacked Yes	1c	5,445$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.44	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd3…5f3fbacked Yes	4c	5,383$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.92	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes	2c	5,218$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	135	27.4%37 W · 98 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf946…5e63backed Yes	3c	5,046$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.39	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb5…3f64backed Yes	0c	5,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d9…ecd7backed Yes	4c	5,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bf9…2d73backed Yes	4c	4,774$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes	4c	4,762$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	485	26.8%130 W · 355 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb334…1ae1backed Yes	4c	4,758$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-2.5wins	-0.13per pick	18cpaid	-82.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8e9…f1bcbacked Yes	3c	4,670$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	71	15.5%11 W · 60 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4930…0badbacked Yes	0c	4,575$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	43	14%6 W · 37 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeae8…7f85backed Yes	2c	4,290$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	113	38.9%44 W · 69 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes	4c	4,180$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.79	300	39.3%118 W · 182 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?this page
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?No won
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event