TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,860,608
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,147,869

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,860,608 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 423 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b59…9db6backed No6c405,646$22,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,664.7948438.2%185 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No5c338,423$17,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,670.2265651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No6c269,517$16,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,022.592,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No6c247,983$14,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,166.5274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e7a…f429backed No1c209,000$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099240%0 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No6c123,273$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,999.9520560%123 W · 82 L+17.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No6c116,029$6,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,525.81,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No5c115,215$5,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,983.514,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No6c92,398$5,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,402.2529952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No6c91,566$5,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,219.8124441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No6c89,163$4,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,903.992552%13 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+140%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14b9…f378backed No6c74,043$4,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,775.346929%20 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed No6c67,338$3,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,848.65119.6%10 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No6c60,376$3,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,824.9564850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked No0c51,000$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No5c40,914$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.8956541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No5c40,554$2,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060.813,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No6c38,979$2,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,301.240239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No6c37,907$2,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,178.862,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No5c37,504$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,789.422,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No5c33,465$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.8137644.9%169 W · 207 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No3c28,689$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.22,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ff…f2bebacked No1c28,604$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25023929.7%71 W · 168 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No6c27,526$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,582.7171638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cb…1688backed No0c27,510$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.024566.7%30 W · 15 L+13.1wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+83.4%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xa86d…49f2backed No6c25,093$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4901936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked No6c22,756$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.296627.3%18 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe708…c3aabacked No2c22,672$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4504112.2%5 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No1c22,612$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.6442541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed No1c22,507$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.587445.9%34 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed No0c22,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458453.6%45 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+45.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf5a1…30d1backed No0c22,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453562.9%22 W · 13 L+7.1wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+56.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No6c22,222$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.3921738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No9c20,267$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,823.951,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41c5…0d43backed No6c19,999$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.9330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked No0c18,510$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0211360.2%68 W · 45 L+22.2wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+63.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No6c18,088$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.0733337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No7c17,799$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.5223363.5%148 W · 85 L+19.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No6c17,740$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.021,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed No0c17,505$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.019862.2%61 W · 37 L+20.5wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+56.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No6c17,166$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.6114055.7%78 W · 62 L+15.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed No0c17,010$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0213158.8%77 W · 54 L+26.4wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+82.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed No0c16,500$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310761.7%66 W · 41 L+20.4wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+66.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x0042…321ebacked No6c16,441$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-58.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed No0c16,005$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0114260.6%86 W · 56 L+25.7wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+49.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x6ce0…0b15backed No1c15,673$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked No0c15,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012156.2%68 W · 53 L+19.7wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+69.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x90bf…99ebbacked No6c14,780$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.635117.6%9 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-68.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf92…7e3fbacked No5c13,215$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.811560%9 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+111.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1037…862bbacked No6c13,170$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bfb…9109backed No6c12,810$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No7c12,263$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.4431945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed No9c10,000$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91017034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked No6c10,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55013550.4%68 W · 67 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked No10c10,000$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.668617.4%15 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…8e56backed No5c9,954$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No7c9,939$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.442043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No8c9,938$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.1130117.9%54 W · 247 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked No6c9,779$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.322846.9%107 W · 121 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed No1c9,735$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4329030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No6c8,940$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.19943.4%43 W · 56 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No6c8,931$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.9884751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec6…eda9backed No11c8,861$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed No6c8,835$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.5836031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked No6c8,483$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.5125031.6%79 W · 171 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfba1…6b92backed No6c8,475$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+112.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked No5c8,473$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4669823.5%23 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe97…6347backed No5c8,189$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.5212958.1%75 W · 54 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1cd2…7f85backed No6c8,065$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No6c7,939$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.2548152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No6c7,923$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.3337144.5%165 W · 206 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed No6c7,695$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.924626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked No0c7,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519356%108 W · 85 L+34.7wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+61%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x160c…185cbacked No6c7,393$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.2216633.7%56 W · 110 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd471…edf8backed No9c7,124$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.916645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3601…cd3fbacked No6c6,743$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.961233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed No6c6,038$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.0144144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No6c6,000$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35422451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08eb…aaa8backed No6c5,947$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.9630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No6c5,801$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.2648441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No6c5,800$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.7247643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No6c5,800$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.1950243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No6c5,800$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.1947144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbda…b8fabacked No6c5,688$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.693941%16 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae4…273ebacked No5c5,601$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.489354.8%51 W · 42 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa9a…099fbacked No6c5,524$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3258415.5%13 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f92…1862backed No2c5,523$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No6c5,183$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8223552.8%124 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No6c5,151$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.4660511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27e0…d036backed No2c5,140$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.322524%6 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick17cpaid-40.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d1d…eb2ebacked No8c5,000$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.1314542.8%62 W · 83 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked No11c5,000$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.438325.3%21 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-28.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2106…4deabacked No6c5,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.9718843.6%82 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ab…e521backed No6c4,687$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.112150.4%61 W · 60 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc21d…e3c6backed No6c4,444$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.194240.5%17 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28b9…396abacked No1c4,167$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50267.7%2 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-59.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4929…8618backed No6c4,147$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d9…499cbacked No2c4,043$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.182010%2 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-76.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed No5c4,028$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.4917414.4%25 W · 149 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No6c4,000$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23321542.8%92 W · 123 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.