Fifa International · resolved market
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00cf3efc18a950cf442049aa0770903f0ab8606212499e0e4196bf74c102c456
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,860,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,147,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,860,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 423 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 6c | 405,646$22,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,664.79 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 5c | 338,423$17,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,670.22 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 6c | 269,517$16,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,022.59 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 6c | 247,983$14,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,166.52 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…f429backed No | 1c | 209,000$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 6c | 123,273$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.95 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 6c | 116,029$6,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,525.8 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 5c | 115,215$5,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,983.51 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 6c | 92,398$5,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,402.25 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 6c | 91,566$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,219.81 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 6c | 89,163$4,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,903.99 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +140%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…f378backed No | 6c | 74,043$4,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,775.34 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed No | 6c | 67,338$3,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,848.6 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 6c | 60,376$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,824.95 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 51,000$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 170 | 5.9%10 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 5c | 40,914$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.89 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 5c | 40,554$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.81 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 6c | 38,979$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.2 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 6c | 37,907$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.86 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 5c | 37,504$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.42 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 5c | 33,465$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.81 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 3c | 28,689$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.2 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ff…f2bebacked No | 1c | 28,604$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 239 | 29.7%71 W · 168 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 6c | 27,526$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.71 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…1688backed No | 0c | 27,510$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +13.1wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa86d…49f2backed No | 6c | 25,093$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked No | 6c | 22,756$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.29 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe708…c3aabacked No | 2c | 22,672$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 1c | 22,612$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.64 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 1c | 22,507$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.58 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed No | 0c | 22,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed No | 0c | 22,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +7.1wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…8451backed No | 6c | 22,222$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.39 | 217 | 38.7%84 W · 133 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 9c | 20,267$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.95 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…0d43backed No | 6c | 19,999$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked No | 0c | 18,510$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +22.2wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 6c | 18,088$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.07 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 7c | 17,799$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.52 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 6c | 17,740$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.02 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed No | 0c | 17,505$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +20.5wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 6c | 17,166$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.61 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +15.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed No | 0c | 17,010$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed No | 0c | 16,500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +20.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked No | 6c | 16,441$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 0c | 16,005$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | +25.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…0b15backed No | 1c | 15,673$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked No | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +19.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…99ebbacked No | 6c | 14,780$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.63 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf92…7e3fbacked No | 5c | 13,215$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.81 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…862bbacked No | 6c | 13,170$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfb…9109backed No | 6c | 12,810$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 7c | 12,263$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.44 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed No | 9c | 10,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked No | 6c | 10,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked No | 10c | 10,000$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.66 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…8e56backed No | 5c | 9,954$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 7c | 9,939$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.4 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 8c | 9,938$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.11 | 301 | 17.9%54 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked No | 6c | 9,779$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.3 | 228 | 46.9%107 W · 121 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed No | 1c | 9,735$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.43 | 290 | 30.7%89 W · 201 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 6c | 8,940$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.1 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 6c | 8,931$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.98 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec6…eda9backed No | 11c | 8,861$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed No | 6c | 8,835$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.58 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked No | 6c | 8,483$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.51 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba1…6b92backed No | 6c | 8,475$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked No | 5c | 8,473$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 98 | 23.5%23 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe97…6347backed No | 5c | 8,189$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.52 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed No | 6c | 8,065$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 6c | 7,939$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.25 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 6c | 7,923$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.33 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…fe92backed No | 6c | 7,695$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.9 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x160c…185cbacked No | 6c | 7,393$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.22 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd471…edf8backed No | 9c | 7,124$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.91 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cd3fbacked No | 6c | 6,743$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e7a9backed No | 6c | 6,038$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.01 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 6c | 6,000$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 224 | 51.3%115 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08eb…aaa8backed No | 6c | 5,947$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 6c | 5,801$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.26 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 6c | 5,800$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.72 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 6c | 5,800$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.19 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 6c | 5,800$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.19 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…b8fabacked No | 6c | 5,688$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.69 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…273ebacked No | 5c | 5,601$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.48 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9a…099fbacked No | 6c | 5,524$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 84 | 15.5%13 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed No | 2c | 5,523$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 6c | 5,183$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 6c | 5,151$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.46 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…d036backed No | 2c | 5,140$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.32 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1d…eb2ebacked No | 8c | 5,000$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.13 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked No | 11c | 5,000$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.43 | 83 | 25.3%21 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked No | 6c | 5,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.97 | 188 | 43.6%82 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 6c | 4,687$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.1 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…e3c6backed No | 6c | 4,444$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.19 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…396abacked No | 1c | 4,167$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…8618backed No | 6c | 4,147$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…499cbacked No | 2c | 4,043$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.18 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed No | 5c | 4,028$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.49 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 6c | 4,000$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?this page
- Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?No won
- Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.