TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Olympics · resolved market

Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,564
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,464

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,564 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Olympics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0926…4624backed Yes0c4,476$15 inLost-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost-$101711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes2c847.13$20 inLost-$20.04420%0 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdf…98e4backed Yes12c787.61$92 inLost-$91.710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Yes9c657.92$57 inLost-$56.78728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd3…ac03backed Yes3c597.98$20 inLost-$19.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed Yes3c350$11 inLost-$11.54020%8 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7e2…1f24backed Yes7c293.73$20 inLost-$20.07944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid-23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc22d…180cbacked Yes10c195.47$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1695…324cbacked Yes6c187.96$12 inLost-$1230%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf9…3cb1backed Yes11c179.52$20 inLost-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes11c102.92$11 inLost-$111241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick34cpaid-14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Yes76c40.79$31 inLost-$311643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.