Olympics · resolved market
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1a727677d86a34b73a3fc5f6abe60df05176a02ffac20dac9a061296bfd6259
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Yes | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,699.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 67c | 5,027$3,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,366.14 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed No | 67c | 3,522$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 62c | 2,319$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.98 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 38c | 2,285$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.7 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 44c | 1,738$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.54 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3395…7c66backed Yes | 53c | 1,716$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed Yes | 56c | 1,590$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 66c | 1,588$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed No | 2c | 1,400$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…f151backed No | 11c | 1,307$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes | 67c | 1,257$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.44 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 49c | 1,248$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.29 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed No | 68c | 1,034$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…495cbacked Yes | 40c | 872.73$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 46c | 813.7$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.3 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 56c | 765.06$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.56 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 54c | 740.59$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.95 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 45c | 730.11$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed No | 44c | 700.74$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.16 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…39c7backed Yes | 56c | 676.96$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed Yes | 53c | 626.88$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.94 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Yes | 36c | 626.59$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed Yes | 35c | 606.32$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.17 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…454dbacked Yes | 30c | 555.23$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.73 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 35cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fe…3ee3backed No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 67c | 494$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.98 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Yes | 54c | 449.85$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb13…2de9backed Yes | 57c | 435.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 47c | 433.49$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.98 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…a454backed Yes | 20c | 410.49$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 66c | 408$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.83 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked No | 51c | 403.01$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.04 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff75…b615backed Yes | 42c | 372.26$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked No | 65c | 338.24$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Yes | 51c | 330.77$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Yes | 19c | 299.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac7…3a34backed No | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked No | 67c | 296.18$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 281.22$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.49 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Yes | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 46c | 271.4$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0680…0141backed No | 67c | 260$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed No | 80c | 255$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.93 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 78c | 254.08$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.15 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Yes | 54c | 231.31$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 62c | 215.16$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.1 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 50c | 214$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 61c | 211.43$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 46c | 210.39$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.42 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 65c | 206$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.65 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe62b…3596backed Yes | 57c | 174.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Yes | 36c | 172$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed No | 75c | 163$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.01 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 18c | 160.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.36 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +40%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e56…87b2backed Yes | 49c | 154.78$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed No | 10c | 152$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed No | 67c | 150$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…2112backed Yes | 53c | 145.03$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…7511backed Yes | 28c | 141.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed No | 79c | 139$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa582…8ec0backed Yes | 24c | 133.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…0df3backed Yes | 21c | 132.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.77 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa853…cf73backed Yes | 23c | 128.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +328.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…80adbacked Yes | 40c | 125.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb95…d09ebacked Yes | 58c | 124.16$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a2…bef8backed Yes | 28c | 117.94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 34c | 116.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.1 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 60c | 115.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda88…990bbacked No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…49b6backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…9745backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3662…ca07backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…9f1cbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x737c…a65dbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60f…f17cbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8308…9f5bbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf32…5159backed Yes | 33c | 98.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 50c | 96.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb388…dc58backed Yes | 55c | 94.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Yes | 55c | 93.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 28c | 87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 41c | 86.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 52c | 86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af2…5212backed No | 57c | 85.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed No | 50c | 76.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc22f…65b5backed Yes | 53c | 74.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3f…917ebacked Yes | 57c | 73.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 47c | 65.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 54c | 65.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed No | 67c | 64.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 73c | 62.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…e4b8backed Yes | 47c | 59.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 52c | 59.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…a35abacked Yes | 34c | 59.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 58c | 57.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +46%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b8…04ecbacked Yes | 36c | 55.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Great Britain win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Italy win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will USA win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.