TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Olympics · resolved market

Will Great Britain win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,993
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,137

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,993 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Olympics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd58…18f9backed Yes46c3,322$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.9520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes24c3,036$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.343132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Yes33c1,974$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.113262.5%20 W · 12 L+5.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+32.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes21c1,255$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.122119%4 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-62%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd709…5f46backed Yes24c1,218$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x359f…fa80backed Yes4c1,200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44427.1%3 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d61…1fa7backed Yes42c1,054$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Yes19c1,007$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.612142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Yes52c959.15$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No65c949.38$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.453467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes51c790.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400293.4%1 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-92.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes31c690.84$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.62540%10 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-33.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Yes49c632.63$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0338…04b7backed No57c625.16$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.29560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No71c549$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.614641.3%19 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaef5…a454backed Yes39c502.47$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x250e…e864backed Yes24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes40c478.79$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.67035.7%25 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes46c470.07$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.2330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked No70c423.93$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.975151%26 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No52c409$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.62933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+50.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4785…921ebacked No55c392.63$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.68650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Yes28c384.69$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Yes30c377.42$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.32860.7%17 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+17.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes38c356.97$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.29137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-83.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No59c316$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.561060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Yes44c309.54$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.2922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No54c302.52$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.7311858.5%69 W · 49 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa9f…0df3backed Yes20c299.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603823.7%9 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-26.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x455a…28ebbacked Yes33c291.65$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes45c243.35$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.32339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No61c229.15$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.918237.8%31 W · 51 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe62b…3596backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3af2…5212backed Yes49c214.03$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.73650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0c9…2498backed Yes48c208.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507a…be1fbacked No59c208.23$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.841668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No56c201.5$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.01450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4013…4d70backed Yes44c199.98$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a47…5533backed Yes45c198.35$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.93633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed No72c186.41$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.073818.4%7 W · 31 L-6.1wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-68.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes38c181.69$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.082448.2%20 W · 224 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-61.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56da…fca2backed Yes20c157$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.42218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-73.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed No61c147.26$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.122846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02bd…3c32backed Yes32c145.83$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.88666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+69%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8fe…3ee3backed Yes12c145.73$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae3…4dd4backed No75c137$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.941735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No68c117.81$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.266137.7%23 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x737c…a65dbacked Yes40c110$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Yes45c105.74$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.58100%0 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9bd5…6428backed Yes44c105$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.291040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-42.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0230…b0f1backed Yes45c104.44$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc401…63b1backed Yes49c102.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.21346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483525.7%9 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed Yes41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8308…9f5bbacked Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e12…2440backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x073a…2cdabacked Yes52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes45c99.67$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.851040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x935d…a9e9backed Yes46c97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x365c…71c2backed Yes46c96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x394c…4e1abacked Yes46c95$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd4c…b236backed Yes46c94$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c9…60e3backed Yes46c93$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10c5…7541backed Yes46c93$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No78c91.38$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.12748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84bd…2dc3backed Yes46c91$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a48…8f48backed Yes46c91$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6f…06c4backed No38c90.79$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.29812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-67.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccdf…946bbacked Yes53c90.57$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f09…a26abacked Yes46c89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a4…975dbacked Yes46c89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2f…3341backed Yes46c88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bf…cb01backed Yes46c86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d58…2af0backed Yes46c84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No55c83.22$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.451866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf495…ec9abacked No54c82$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfd3…bba8backed No54c82$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2681…e954backed Yes46c82$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc376…0ad4backed Yes46c82$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa53e…f9f6backed No76c82$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.681936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e81…d7d5backed Yes46c81$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc10…9fcbbacked No54c81$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9163…0d17backed Yes46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14d1…1123backed Yes46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x455f…8df9backed No54c79$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b6e…cb46backed No54c78$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ad…3087backed No54c77$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…5882backed No54c77$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Yes43c76.3$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.822123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-60.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x58b6…6cdfbacked Yes46c76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7257…fc40backed Yes35c75.74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.332917.2%5 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf193…2c4fbacked No54c75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8026…2520backed No54c73$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82ae…7bb9backed No54c73$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fa…c94cbacked Yes46c72$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaac7…a730backed No54c72$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ae…58cfbacked No54c72$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Yes58c71.07$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.921338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0406…0e9dbacked No54c71$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.