Olympics · resolved market
Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bb5dd6e8306637fa0e89d3ef9966057fb710e5c4dde6684d0cb6f45b78a5c4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1e5…76e7backed Yes | 22c | 4,254$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed Yes | 12c | 3,383$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.29 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 80c | 3,205$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.95 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 60c | 1,083$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.6 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 17c | 844.45$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.66 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 12c | 500$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 14cpaid | +123.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a47…5533backed Yes | 45c | 456.14$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 54c | 397.1$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.26 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed No | 78c | 379.39$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.53 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…fca2backed Yes | 43c | 322.76$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.04 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 67c | 303.98$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 37c | 294.22$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.86 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 49c | 283.69$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.84 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 13c | 274$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 72c | 254.28$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…c1b8backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…25cabacked Yes | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7d…aee7backed Yes | 43c | 231.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 16c | 226.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 18c | 199.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 33c | 186.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfae…6272backed Yes | 42c | 182.53$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60fc…a72fbacked Yes | 38c | 150.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…ccc7backed Yes | 13c | 140$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…324cbacked Yes | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…5400backed Yes | 10c | 117.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 67c | 103.01$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Yes | 25c | 102.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed No | 62c | 96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eaf…977fbacked Yes | 21c | 95.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…e293backed Yes | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 74c | 77.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked No | 53c | 67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 63c | 59.81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…d3adbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2a…08d0backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4169…98e9backed No | 66c | 55.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 57c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 38c | 54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe665…79bbbacked Yes | 47c | 53.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7148…ca41backed Yes | 31c | 50.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb609…3c8ebacked Yes | 35c | 47.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 61c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0756…45d8backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 33c | 31.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0836…92f1backed Yes | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a56…695bbacked No | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked No | 78c | 23.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed No | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x052c…fa22backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac8…990abacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de7…1e31backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 58c | 19.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…03f7backed No | 68c | 18.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Great Britain win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Italy win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will USA win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.