TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7106…d3ad

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 53 out of 100; worst Middle East at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT3652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$125.84
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+35.4%+$8.15
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Team World vs. Team USA Starsbacked Team World · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+41.2%+$51.56
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$640
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Suns vs. 76ersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+122.2%+$20.78
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+72.5%+$28.99
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.33
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+127.3%+$28
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+194.1%+$65.79
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$47.5
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$84.7
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$49.57
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+116.8%+$72.69
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+44.9%+$13.48
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Powell say "Update" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+57.2%+$57.18
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-0.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+300%+$60
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+194.1%+$48.53
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+203%+$50.76
Will PSV win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-4.5wins-0.45per pick55cpaid-87.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$94
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$104
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$65
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$44
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Zarichne by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$53.75
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+475.1%+$296.34
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Trump agrees to send U.S. peacekeeping force to Ukraine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$364.22
Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+143.4%+$143.44
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$36.75
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-63.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Panthersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Islanders vs. Golden Knightsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+50.1%+$6.42
Jets vs. Krakenbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Canadiensbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+100%+$40
All 4 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NK Celje win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+354.5%+$177.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+108.3%+$53.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.