Ukraine · resolved market
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x235acc369ccd9f0c10a74aa4cb6e5c0c6783eaec22b4843f6fe0e171ad8e4057
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1a3…9e5cbacked Yes | 13c | 6,003$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 10c | 5,656$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.29 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 3c | 4,310$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.27 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 5c | 4,230$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 71c | 3,260$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.18 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 28c | 2,814$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.79 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef10…4c13backed Yes | 25c | 2,056$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 16c | 2,035$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.37 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 14c | 2,029$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.8 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3c30backed Yes | 8c | 2,013$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…65d2backed Yes | 3c | 1,780$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 24cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked No | 72c | 1,529$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.65 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 9c | 1,430$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.52 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,423$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.11 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…974ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,333$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 19c | 1,324$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.53 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f3…f66ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,258$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked Yes | 19c | 1,245$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.16 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd9…0145backed No | 69c | 1,176$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.91 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…d3adbacked Yes | 5c | 1,146$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 11c | 1,059$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.43 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…bf0abacked No | 67c | 990.97$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.42 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e78…0363backed Yes | 23c | 990$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.7 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…2112backed Yes | 38c | 969.98$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 17c | 940$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.49 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 866.79$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.61 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…25b5backed Yes | 4c | 810$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 3c | 801.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 21c | 792.57$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.83 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…e0e5backed Yes | 31c | 792.17$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.53 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…8f17backed No | 72c | 768.05$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.59 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18ba…8fd3backed Yes | 13c | 750.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7830…783fbacked No | 58c | 715.29$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.47 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecf…afe2backed Yes | 15c | 657.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -67%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2330…cb2cbacked Yes | 4c | 655$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbe…a4f8backed Yes | 4c | 575$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 2c | 551.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ac…3e1ebacked Yes | 14c | 550.16$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.46 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…7637backed Yes | 21c | 540.1$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.99 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15e…ab86backed Yes | 4c | 480$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7538…88e7backed Yes | 10c | 476.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf191…06e5backed Yes | 4c | 470$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa909…6badbacked Yes | 2c | 439.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…e666backed Yes | 17c | 436.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8a…23debacked Yes | 5c | 427.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1c0dbacked Yes | 24c | 420.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 76c | 415.22$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.77 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 11c | 392.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…6e00backed Yes | 26c | 375.58$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…6d0dbacked No | 79c | 357.26$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…d06fbacked Yes | 23c | 345.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…c677backed Yes | 4c | 345$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90dd…14e3backed Yes | 4c | 345$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4030…933dbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 9c | 323.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 25c | 317.72$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b06…39f3backed Yes | 5c | 315$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1220…bf82backed Yes | 13c | 313.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aea…afe5backed Yes | 22c | 311.18$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 21c | 310.12$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.05 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked No | 58c | 303.67$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.54 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…351cbacked Yes | 12c | 283.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb084…92dcbacked Yes | 18c | 280.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x343d…cd2ebacked No | 79c | 273.92$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.43 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9190…294dbacked Yes | 5c | 270$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb054…5ad9backed Yes | 5c | 270$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b3…b4a8backed Yes | 5c | 270$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 8c | 255.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 13.8%13 W · 81 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…0446backed Yes | 42c | 239.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 79c | 226$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…55efbacked Yes | 4c | 225$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf9…94d7backed Yes | 5c | 225$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6e…d3c9backed Yes | 5c | 225$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8178…32d8backed Yes | 43c | 223.15$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.03 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07ae…0974backed Yes | 8c | 222.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6c…890ebacked Yes | 9c | 221.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f8…f705backed Yes | 28c | 209$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed No | 77c | 200.1$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes | 29c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…0439backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 9c | 198$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…41e8backed Yes | 39c | 198$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 74c | 185.67$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd8…01f0backed Yes | 26c | 185.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x570d…a068backed Yes | 6c | 180$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc93e…786abacked Yes | 11c | 177.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda2…45f9backed No | 58c | 171.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 7c | 167$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf57b…602abacked Yes | 25c | 160.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8617…e460backed Yes | 27c | 146.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…44f7backed Yes | 12c | 142.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb61…2528backed Yes | 27c | 128.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb867…169dbacked Yes | 21c | 124.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…aadebacked Yes | 43c | 122.19$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…7ff4backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…8556backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86aa…cb11backed Yes | 9c | 105.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e55…2b2abacked Yes | 25c | 104.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 61c | 100.24$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec3…ebc5backed Yes | 26c | 100.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.