Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6cce0623614a2563d642013d2a6a682a961a384034db925f1e1b6c878d41679
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $186,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 45c | 13,683$6,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,157.3 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 53c | 12,201$6,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,409.64 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 11,466$5,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,828.73 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 48c | 9,270$4,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,840.03 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…ea35backed Yes | 17c | 9,150$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,594.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 45c | 6,818$3,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,762.62 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 53c | 6,448$3,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,034.77 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 42c | 6,035$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,489.48 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 54c | 5,224$2,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.81 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…ffebbacked Yes | 42c | 5,125$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,972.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2087…1219backed No | 58c | 5,125$2,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b23…ef90backed No | 55c | 4,500$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…ca0fbacked Yes | 45c | 4,500$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf82d…ae0fbacked Yes | 48c | 4,182$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked No | 54c | 3,390$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Yes | 48c | 3,359$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ef…0e84backed Yes | 47c | 3,225$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 73c | 3,224$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.59 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed Yes | 42c | 2,301$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 48c | 2,125$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.77 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 52c | 2,017$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.45 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked No | 44c | 1,784$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.51 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 53c | 1,726$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.98 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 49c | 1,525$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 1,426$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.56 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Yes | 41c | 1,255$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 39c | 1,251$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.14 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,108$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.76 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 45c | 1,025$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.24 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 52c | 917$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.92 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 44c | 848.46$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.32 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…4a13backed Yes | 52c | 846.77$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.31 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +181.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…9612backed Yes | 50c | 815$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 46c | 648.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.16 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed No | 50c | 604.39$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c60…9c5ebacked Yes | 29c | 545.92$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +250.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 59c | 545$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.79 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c21cbacked Yes | 47c | 425.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 49c | 411.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a7…64bfbacked Yes | 50c | 403.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.01 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e99…8475backed Yes | 46c | 397.59$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3e71backed Yes | 40c | 394.97$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 49c | 388$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.58 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 46c | 368.21$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.77 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…be48backed No | 49c | 352.87$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 51c | 335.6$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.63 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 55c | 323.11$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.18 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 45c | 291.27$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.04 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 74c | 269.31$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.95 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…1c2cbacked No | 4c | 250.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked No | 64c | 244.33$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.37 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 44c | 237.2$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.09 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 53c | 233.36$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked No | 30c | 233.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 54c | 224.05$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.05 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed No | 34c | 220$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 45c | 216.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x773b…a9a8backed Yes | 71c | 215.23$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…23bfbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ab…2b99backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…0aaebacked Yes | 47c | 211.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 47c | 210.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb6…c9a5backed Yes | 47c | 210.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 53c | 207.63$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.84 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7d…928abacked Yes | 49c | 203$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed No | 50c | 200.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b5…cf5fbacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked No | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 52c | 199.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 46c | 194.63$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.98 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 47c | 192.43$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670b…2c75backed No | 45c | 191.16$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +236%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 43c | 183.8$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.03 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…a6edbacked No | 66c | 180.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed No | 57c | 175.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2532…5b32backed Yes | 47c | 172.74$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes | 49c | 171.43$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 51c | 167.96$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.3 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Yes | 58c | 166.7$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.21 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +99%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Yes | 44c | 162.54$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.16 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed No | 57c | 158.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 64c | 155.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…7fc8backed Yes | 56c | 152.03$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…45cebacked Yes | 48c | 149.35$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 49c | 145.21$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Yes | 47c | 140$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef4…a780backed Yes | 51c | 127.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 54c | 125.41$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 17c | 113.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.54 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 44c | 112.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Groningen win on 2025-11-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.