Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Groningen win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f34571fb81be7febaf2c51c1260253118b863f9d4178015c4cdd34e3e5eb231
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 73c | 10,681$7,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,873.99 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f6…742fbacked Yes | 27c | 5,494$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…53a9backed Yes | 8c | 3,767$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 27c | 3,705$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 22c | 1,445$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.95 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 21c | 950$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 949.27$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.08 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 72c | 798.98$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.71 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 8c | 795$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 27c | 777.59$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.95 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 73c | 752.59$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.2 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 79c | 748$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.08 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Yes | 27c | 700$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 21c | 597.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.58 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 27c | 574.07$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 21c | 558.07$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.19 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 21c | 523.96$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.39 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 74c | 513.45$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fe…95f7backed Yes | 40c | 502.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 21c | 500.17$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.79 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc270…1379backed Yes | 23c | 449.24$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 385.18$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.47 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef0…aad4backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…03c0backed Yes | 26c | 352.39$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d4…2037backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 20c | 243.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 225.62$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 79c | 203.4$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f6…fe82backed No | 74c | 200.95$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7052…74aebacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Yes | 25c | 195.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 75c | 184$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked No | 78c | 166$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 21c | 162.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 79c | 135.93$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 78c | 124.54$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…0ad9backed Yes | 25c | 107.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 105.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3e71backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93e8…c261backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 22c | 91.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…0b7abacked Yes | 22c | 91.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…a0e0backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…4c8bbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…c8e8backed Yes | 24c | 85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Yes | 29c | 81.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56af…e2a4backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7dd…dbbdbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…206dbacked Yes | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 74c | 61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3830…73b7backed Yes | 23c | 60.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 76c | 59.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…fd87backed Yes | 22c | 51.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed No | 76c | 50.76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed No | 79c | 50.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…1521backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983f…95c3backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b09…382cbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Yes | 28c | 46.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x970c…94b2backed Yes | 28c | 41.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e6…06e7backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd261…0905backed Yes | 28c | 36.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 74c | 36.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd99e…67e3backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc334…0e88backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed No | 80c | 25.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…f9b4backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 79c | 20.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 75c | 17.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4032…fcadbacked No | 79c | 14.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Groningen win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?No won
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.