TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc334…0e88

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
188
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Movies at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+156.8%+$31.36
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$59.74
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$9.07
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$21.77
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$133.51
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+40.4%+$16.14
Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+34.8%+$48.67
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+172.5%+$138.02
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+88.1%+$111.28
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+40.5%+$12.15
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+68.7%+$61.81
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
US government shutdown by October 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+56.9%+$15.36
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+54.4%+$60.88
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+30%+$30
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+159.1%+$31.81
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$27.15
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+40.8%+$7.07
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Ravens vs. Bengalsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+69.5%+$15.98
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$92.07
Jets vs. Ravens: 1H Moneylinebacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Ravens (-8.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+49.3%+$39.4
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Commanders vs. Falconsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 19 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+43.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$78.51
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$17.97
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.4
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.5
Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+429.2%+$128.77
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+389.5%+$46.74
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Philadelphia 76ers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$215.2
Will V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$22.82
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$13.15
OKC breaks NBA single-season wins record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$32.31
Will Pascal Siakam Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+62.3%+$15.57
Will Tyrese Haliburton Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
NBA Finals: Will any player score 40+ points? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$79.68
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+61.3%+$24.52
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$111.83
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$14.14
Will Bayern Munich vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea beat Fluminense in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Chelsea beat Palmeiras in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
FIFA Club World Cup: Palmeiras vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will Chelsea win Group D at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milanbacked PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+67.1%+$10.07
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+153.9%+$76.96
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$15.81
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+55.6%+$111.18
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$22.78
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 13 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-44%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.91
Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$58.27
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$43.45
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+176.6%+$35.33
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$171.89
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+134.5%+$278.18
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.35
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Red Sox vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$3.99
Dodgers vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Orioles vs. Cubsbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Phillies vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
Rockies vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Mets vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+150%+$60
Tigers vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Mets vs. Rockiesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.51
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+38.9%+$17.67
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Brighton win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+40.8%+$16.34
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+83.5%+$133.67
Will Chelsea FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Miami Florida win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+259.6%+$38.94
Louisiana vs. Arkansas Statebacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Maryland Terrapins vs. Rutgersbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Temple vs. Armybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Delaware Blue Hens vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Delaware Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Washington vs. Maryland Terrapinsbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Syracuse vs. Clemsonbacked Syracuse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Maryland vs. Wisconsinbacked Maryland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$79.17
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$131.76
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$38.67
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Jim McGreevey win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+27.7%+$33.19
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$661Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+85.8%+$567.44
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+33.7%+$79.21
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$12.63
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+128.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-54.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Basel win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Will Chelsea beat Real Betis?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy booster?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+76.5%+$45.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Groningen win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Africa win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.