Champions League · resolved market
Will Chelsea beat Fluminense in regulation time?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39aff4f32d874ea1efba101bd602116f0489a30b129d4cb08e97fe2f0eb300da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 40c | 21,052$8,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,410.47 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 60c | 11,840$7,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,712.11 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 40c | 10,872$4,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,358.77 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 60c | 6,500$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 60c | 5,982$3,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.78 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…aebbbacked No | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 60c | 4,546$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.83 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed No | 45c | 3,321$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.22 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 59c | 2,374$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.39 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…b6cebacked Yes | 59c | 2,122$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Yes | 59c | 2,020$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.2 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 40c | 1,859$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.74 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Yes | 60c | 1,665$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.08 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7d…4d56backed No | 40c | 1,655$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cec…09e3backed Yes | 60c | 1,611$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked No | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.8wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +46%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 32c | 1,213$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 59c | 894$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.54 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Yes | 62c | 801.11$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked No | 39c | 799.98$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.99 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fa…8135backed No | 18c | 555.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd503…ef93backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…450cbacked Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed No | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 59c | 460.97$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 21c | 452.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Yes | 56c | 430$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 59c | 423$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.43 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Yes | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…67fdbacked Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…af7abacked Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 61c | 262.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed Yes | 60c | 260$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed No | 41c | 258.54$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed Yes | 61c | 243.44$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Yes | 57c | 241.87$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 59c | 238.54$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.8 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 43c | 234.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…565fbacked Yes | 61c | 232$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 29c | 210.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed No | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebb…73eabacked Yes | 60c | 180.12$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 60c | 166.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 60c | 161$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…5f66backed Yes | 59c | 152.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5098…48debacked Yes | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbd…81c2backed Yes | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b4…2872backed Yes | 69c | 141.78$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…845dbacked No | 42c | 141.31$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…b28abacked Yes | 60c | 140$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 42c | 101$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ab…6b01backed Yes | 58c | 101$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked No | 18c | 97.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe699…8790backed No | 43c | 83.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed No | 43c | 72.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…c74dbacked No | 42c | 64.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…f11dbacked Yes | 61c | 60.66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…86f3backed No | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f0…1981backed Yes | 60c | 59.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed No | 19c | 54.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd570…932ebacked Yes | 59c | 52.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc334…0e88backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…d646backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab2…e698backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 41c | 45.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…6255backed No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 61c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d6…f503backed Yes | 59c | 35.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8eb…ff2abacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 41c | 27.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 59c | 25.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Yes | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe63b…69aabacked Yes | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 60c | 20.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28fc…6171backed Yes | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 183 | 34.4%63 W · 120 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32d…806ebacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6f…9de1backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea beat Fluminense in regulation time?this page
- Will Fluminense beat Chelsea in regulation time?No won
- Will Fluminense vs. Chelsea end in a draw after regulation time?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.