NFL · resolved market
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe0351d94103c5e587cae009c2a49c3b96af22cd0fd25fef243e5c8f649f6aa7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ravensof Ravens, Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $625,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $631,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $625,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Ravens | 54c | 467,443$252,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214,533.65 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Vikings | 46c | 438,007$201,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201,594.65 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Vikings | 45c | 85,259$38,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,366.44 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Ravens | 55c | 22,764$12,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,330.29 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Vikings | 45c | 20,020$9,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,009.2 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Ravens | 53c | 17,008$8,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,041.94 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd1…da1cbacked Ravens | 42c | 15,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,700 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…1e9cbacked Ravens | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Vikings | 58c | 10,345$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Ravens | 53c | 8,000$4,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,730 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Vikings | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Vikings | 46c | 6,521$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.66 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Vikings | 47c | 5,773$2,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,713.22 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ravens | 55c | 5,134$2,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.84 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Ravens | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Vikings | 58c | 4,100$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.15 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Vikings | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Ravens | 56c | 3,392$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.4 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Ravens | 56c | 3,000$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Vikings | 48c | 2,708$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Vikings | 48c | 2,084$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.08 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Ravens | 55c | 2,043$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.54 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…adbfbacked Ravens | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Ravens | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Ravens | 55c | 1,909$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.09 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Ravens | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Vikings | 46c | 1,762$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.29 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Ravens | 53c | 1,704$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.2 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Vikings | 46c | 1,598$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.13 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…b0f3backed Ravens | 55c | 1,129$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Ravens | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Vikings | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ravens | 55c | 999$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.55 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Ravens | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Ravens | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Ravens | 53c | 790.32$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.45 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Ravens | 53c | 785$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.85 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…3d3ebacked Ravens | 55c | 736.53$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.53 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…5ec0backed Ravens | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc79…6b98backed Ravens | 55c | 698.62$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.38 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Ravens | 52c | 690.29$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.34 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Ravens | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Ravens | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Vikings | 58c | 588.18$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.14 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Ravens | 52c | 574.81$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.91 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Ravens | 55c | 555$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.75 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8159…8d5cbacked Ravens | 53c | 539.62$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.62 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…a903backed Ravens | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…c0bebacked Ravens | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Vikings | 46c | 435$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fe…1656backed Ravens | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Vikings | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Ravens | 53c | 386.98$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.88 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Ravens | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Vikings | 46c | 372$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.54 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…b033backed Vikings | 46c | 368$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.56 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…df60backed Ravens | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…3a4cbacked Ravens | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Vikings | 48c | 337.25$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.88 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Vikings | 46c | 317.74$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.17 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…3cbcbacked Ravens | 55c | 301.82$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.82 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Ravens | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4814…a24abacked Ravens | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Ravens | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 174 | 59.2%103 W · 71 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161c…3b03backed Ravens | 53c | 286.62$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.71 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Vikings | 47c | 276.6$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Ravens | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Ravens | 51c | 223.97$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.38 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Vikings | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Vikings | 47c | 215$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Ravens | 53c | 213.21$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Vikings | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Ravens | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Vikings | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Ravens | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf28…9144backed Ravens | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Ravens | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Ravens | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Ravens | 50c | 187.38$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…559abacked Ravens | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162b…06d8backed Ravens | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Ravens | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75a0…be02backed Ravens | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Ravens | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Vikings | 47c | 171$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…fc6cbacked Ravens | 54c | 170.9$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Ravens | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Ravens | 52c | 154$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Ravens | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ravens | 51c | 148$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Vikings | 58c | 119.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed Ravens | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…8761backed Ravens | 52c | 108$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 64cpaid | +44%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Vikings | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Vikings | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Ravens | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Ravens | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Vikings | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…7345backed Ravens | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…a330backed Ravens | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ravens (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Ravens (-2.5)Vikings won
- 1H Spread: Ravens (-3.5)Vikings won
- Ravens vs. VikingsRavens won
- Ravens vs. Vikings: O/U 47.5Under won
- Ravens vs. Vikings: O/U 48.5Under won
- Ravens vs. Vikings: O/U 49.5Under won
- Spread: Ravens (-4.5)Ravens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.