NFL · resolved market
Ravens vs. Vikings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71232d3f845304bf6ecc7561f91087557b459029f270a81224be5bb465efecd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ravensof Ravens, Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,328,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,382,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,328,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 649 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Vikings | 34c | 120,000$40,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,799.98 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Vikings | 49c | 110,928$54,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,456.16 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Vikings | 34c | 105,269$35,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,686.05 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Ravens | 69c | 105,065$72,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,007.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Ravens | 66c | 96,703$63,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,852.94 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Vikings | 34c | 53,000$17,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,790 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Ravens | 67c | 50,000$33,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,499.99 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Ravens | 66c | 47,817$31,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,257.78 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Ravens | 58c | 47,549$27,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,941.63 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Vikings | 33c | 45,000$14,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,850 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Vikings | 46c | 34,797$16,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,086.27 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…10c9backed Vikings | 0c | 28,583$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2d…05e4backed Vikings | 1c | 26,103$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Vikings | 16c | 21,712$3,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,547.95 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Vikings | 13c | 20,692$2,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692.44 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Ravens | 66c | 20,000$13,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Vikings | 34c | 19,160$6,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,514.56 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Ravens | 66c | 18,000$11,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,120 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Ravens | 66c | 15,538$10,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,287.69 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Ravens | 59c | 15,504$9,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,324.99 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Ravens | 66c | 14,747$9,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,013.97 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Vikings | 31c | 13,426$4,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,162.03 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Ravens | 65c | 12,635$8,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,401.68 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Vikings | 33c | 10,854$3,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,581.91 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Ravens | 50c | 10,486$5,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,243.11 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Ravens | 66c | 10,332$6,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,535.2 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Vikings | 5c | 10,161$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.45 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Vikings | 31c | 9,523$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,979.67 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Ravens | 55c | 8,182$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,681.82 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Vikings | 1c | 7,820$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Vikings | 33c | 7,712$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Vikings | 3c | 7,237$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.86 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Vikings | 33c | 7,235$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.31 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Vikings | 0c | 7,166$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Ravens | 67c | 7,066$4,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.84 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Ravens | 67c | 7,000$4,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af5…2470backed Vikings | 35c | 7,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…49a1backed Vikings | 32c | 7,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Vikings | 34c | 6,666$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.21 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Ravens | 60c | 6,620$3,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,636.39 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Ravens | 49c | 6,537$3,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.71 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Ravens | 66c | 6,407$4,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.01 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Vikings | 34c | 6,246$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.96 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Ravens | 67c | 6,068$4,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Ravens | 66c | 6,030$3,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.3 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Vikings | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Ravens | 67c | 6,000$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.98 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ravens | 64c | 5,986$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.36 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…997fbacked Vikings | 33c | 5,970$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Ravens | 66c | 5,303$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.03 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Ravens | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ravens | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Ravens | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Vikings | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.94 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Vikings | 16c | 4,774$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.8 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3289…4538backed Ravens | 67c | 4,573$3,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.82 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Vikings | 31c | 4,500$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Vikings | 32c | 4,436$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.84 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Vikings | 0c | 4,406$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…5effbacked Ravens | 68c | 4,404$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.41 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…e270backed Vikings | 32c | 4,320$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Ravens | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Ravens | 65c | 3,653$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.31 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6392…0dc7backed Vikings | 35c | 3,072$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ravens | 65c | 3,034$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.85 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Ravens | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Vikings | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…903dbacked Ravens | 67c | 2,970$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x817f…9802backed Ravens | 67c | 2,970$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Ravens | 68c | 2,912$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.76 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Vikings | 34c | 2,904$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.28 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Ravens | 57c | 2,760$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.44 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Ravens | 55c | 2,731$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.91 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Vikings | 1c | 2,726$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Ravens | 56c | 2,700$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Vikings | 33c | 2,615$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.23 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Ravens | 67c | 2,556$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.6 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Vikings | 36c | 2,531$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.18 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Vikings | 31c | 2,475$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.75 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Ravens | 65c | 2,366$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.16 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa04…72f4backed Vikings | 33c | 2,364$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.08 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ravens | 66c | 2,318$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.74 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Vikings | 41c | 2,253$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.6 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Vikings | 29c | 2,200$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed Vikings | 31c | 2,095$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.39 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86d…c53fbacked Ravens | 50c | 2,003$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.41 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Ravens | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Ravens | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Vikings | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Ravens | 61c | 1,958$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.5 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x640e…f2d4backed Ravens | 51c | 1,950$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb24e…a2e5backed Ravens | 52c | 1,906$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.76 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Vikings | 34c | 1,800$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.07 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Ravens | 61c | 1,788$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.63 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…eb4abacked Ravens | 67c | 1,765$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa56e…9d30backed Ravens | 67c | 1,765$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7798…865bbacked Vikings | 34c | 1,765$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x559f…cd83backed Vikings | 34c | 1,765$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…92ccbacked Vikings | 33c | 1,741$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.53 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Ravens | 65c | 1,732$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.96 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ravens vs. Vikingsthis page
- 1H Spread: Ravens (-2.5)Vikings won
- 1H Spread: Ravens (-3.5)Vikings won
- Ravens vs. Vikings: O/U 47.5Under won
- Ravens vs. Vikings: O/U 48.5Under won
- Ravens vs. Vikings: O/U 49.5Under won
- Spread: Ravens (-3.5)Ravens won
- Spread: Ravens (-4.5)Ravens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.