TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb24e…a2e5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
120
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST6254.8%34 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$188.59
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$141.36
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$161.54
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+31.6%+$15.79
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+180.8%+$810.79
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+79%+$473.79
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+170.3%+$340.54
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+242.3%+$969.28
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+48.6%+$48.57
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+170.3%+$340.54
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$310.36
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+87.6%+$613.19
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$14.94
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+35.4%+$123.9
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
BNP Paribas Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Zverevbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
BNP Paribas Open: Alex Michelsen vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Bublik vs Vit Koprivabacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
BNP Paribas Open: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonsecabacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$62.74
Rio Open: Joao Fonseca vs Thiago Monteirobacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+35.1%+$17.57
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37.4%+$130.76
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$50
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$44.22
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+164%+$164.03
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$62.56
ATP Cincinnati - Sinner vs. Atmanebacked Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Terra Wortmann Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.89
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+131.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+95.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-56%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+40.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+66.7%+$7.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.