Tennis · resolved market
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Terra Wortmann Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72d05948d276af488ebc2f7dcdb5ef2b23ea1af3229eae79c42e602ac55d6fca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,298$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47b1…1306backed Yes | 79c | 833.44$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed No | 39c | 746.07$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 20c | 586.08$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.86 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…8284backed No | 40c | 517.88$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.23 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…bb91backed Yes | 63c | 432.09$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.42 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…e0f2backed Yes | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 37c | 257.81$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 46c | 219.43$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.49 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 25c | 173$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.19 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 39c | 160.4$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.72 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…2553backed Yes | 60c | 160$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 63c | 157.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7b…63dabacked Yes | 67c | 116$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…9a74backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 41c | 91.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 33c | 83.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 32c | 81.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb24e…a2e5backed Yes | 68c | 73.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e84…a3cfbacked Yes | 58c | 62.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 32c | 54.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2021…2555backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…12ddbacked No | 40c | 42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 58c | 41.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 336 | 50.9%171 W · 165 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…f7edbacked Yes | 58c | 26.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Terra Wortmann Open?this page
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 Terra Wortmann Open?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2025 Terra Wortmann Open?No won
- Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2025 Terra Wortmann Open?No won
- Will Karen Khachanov win the 2025 Terra Wortmann Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.