Tennis · resolved market
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2025 Terra Wortmann Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1b383f18508856e8fbfc81ebce848828d94f0b190dc793350dfa5226515ad5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 78c | 2,210$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.54 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 44c | 1,824$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.44 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 52c | 1,300$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.94 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed No | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked No | 40c | 804.73$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.84 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7606…2836backed Yes | 63c | 773.15$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed No | 45c | 668.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.89 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 60c | 568.88$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.33 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 32c | 500$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.17 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…d80ebacked No | 42c | 500$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.75 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…6f28backed Yes | 60c | 466.33$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.8 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 55c | 446.39$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.51 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac1…2248backed Yes | 60c | 370.4$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Yes | 62c | 322.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 36c | 302.7$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.73 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 58c | 238.1$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.1 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 80c | 220$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…613cbacked No | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 65c | 177$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Yes | 63c | 161.19$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.55 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 62c | 128.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 50c | 125$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 64c | 123$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…12ddbacked Yes | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbe…d7e1backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6b…88a7backed No | 40c | 92.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 71c | 86.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81b…89b1backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…35a9backed Yes | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67dd…6fcebacked No | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 57c | 48.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…b745backed Yes | 39c | 43.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed No | 36c | 37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +12.2wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +399.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…0868backed No | 51c | 36.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f14…68c5backed No | 65c | 29.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2025 Terra Wortmann Open?this page
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 Terra Wortmann Open?No won
- Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2025 Terra Wortmann Open?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Terra Wortmann Open?No won
- Will Karen Khachanov win the 2025 Terra Wortmann Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.