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Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana reach $250 in September?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$244,124
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$266,243

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,124 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d9d…4d8bbacked No62c38,000$23,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,400785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+55.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes60c27,123$16,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,942.5363835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed Yes48c21,641$10,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,325.1529126.5%77 W · 214 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4969…5152backed No60c16,456$9,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,89810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb68a…c568backed Yes39c15,035$5,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,227.2422216.2%36 W · 186 L-14.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-65.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf98b…bfc5backed Yes52c13,852$7,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,612.9324654.9%135 W · 111 L+16.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2adf…d89cbacked Yes60c12,747$7,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,122.9213561.5%83 W · 52 L+16.5wins+0.12per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes40c11,650$4,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,95925824%62 W · 196 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce8f…4400backed No14c9,999$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.924839.6%19 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8666…d7c7backed Yes63c9,880$6,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,670.065933.9%20 W · 39 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6111…c9a2backed No51c9,000$4,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,629.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d4f…fda5backed Yes45c7,231$3,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,960.892123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-49.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63be…2c64backed No33c5,770$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.14119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.33per pick42cpaid-82.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0a88…b13abacked Yes62c4,715$2,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes77c4,698$3,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.0632524.3%79 W · 246 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9196…c311backed No13c3,955$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0112736.2%46 W · 81 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-4.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e45…3662backed No50c3,421$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,702.863284.4%27 W · 5 L+7.9wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+59.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes40c3,340$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,002.0915023.3%35 W · 115 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed No61c2,990$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,82413863%87 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes75c2,793$2,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.3837745.9%173 W · 204 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfcc…12a6backed No42c2,517$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.192975.9%22 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x33c0…b5acbacked No31c2,031$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.91560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8206950.7%35 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Yes40c1,995$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick48cpaid+82.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Yes78c1,994$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.596468.8%44 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c3…61ebbacked No62c1,608$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.961464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1d5…72ffbacked Yes35c1,514$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.161618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-62.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc932…3545backed Yes75c1,262$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.651866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed No47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4703164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xce69…3e08backed No27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0856…a569backed No57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a55…cfc4backed Yes66c1,000$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3365156.9%29 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+34%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a25…d373backed No60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No28c965.87$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.18402.5%1 W · 39 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick17cpaid-96.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x47ea…7fc0backed Yes52c839.86$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.26520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-61.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d40…28e9backed No42c804.43$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.65058%29 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x846f…750ebacked No13c785.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013038.5%50 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe758…c90ebacked No71c704.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04e3…69d1backed No23c689.58$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.851070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b6f…340bbacked Yes39c650.29$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.377540%30 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4552…0333backed No25c582$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.453441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc53c…0eb4backed Yes67c580.46$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.467652.6%40 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x821c…ffc7backed Yes65c523.3$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.323948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009824.5%24 W · 74 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked No20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007219.4%14 W · 58 L+0.2wins0.00per pick19cpaid-43.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No12c492.5$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.342222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-57.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdef…f9d1backed No59c391.68$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa366…54efbacked Yes67c350$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.2515754.8%86 W · 71 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3d7…7504backed No63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc631…76f6backed Yes43c304$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.713342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d0…1d86backed No26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7819439.2%76 W · 118 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked No39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003215.6%5 W · 27 L-8.8wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-77.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Yes40c231.89$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.532839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedfc…1df1backed No45c220.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003871.1%27 W · 11 L+6.9wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+29.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x08d7…0eecbacked No69c214.88$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.271346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda14…a40cbacked No65c209.71$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.243237.5%12 W · 20 L-11.2wins-0.35per pick72cpaid-50.3%equal weight28-0.20 edge/pick
0xaf00…33a7backed No65c205$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd515…14febacked No36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…ce4ebacked No37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7430%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed No60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011658.6%68 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed No54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick73cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef6d…9bd2backed No50c198$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes75c191.01$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.751030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-41.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80d3…bc19backed Yes53c188.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.654100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda7f…7313backed No49c187.72$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9915…3704backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-42.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70a4…eff2backed Yes41c167.9$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.068713.8%12 W · 75 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160f…3539backed No67c160.13$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick71cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6e1…4f54backed No7c160$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2510…60adbacked No67c158.03$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.216564.6%42 W · 23 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe77e…024cbacked Yes80c157.53$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4135…a576backed No33c151.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae25…9a48backed Yes68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-79%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50b2…c94abacked No53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.54949%24 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x249b…5df1backed No10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157619.7%15 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd310…be53backed Yes72c136.23$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.366777.6%52 W · 15 L+12.1wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+22%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x55cf…6cd0backed No21c130$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.12642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb12e…2408backed Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211250%6 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c66…dc0dbacked No65c127.71$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.011464.3%9 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick74cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe161…a10bbacked No65c127.53$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.89560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…da0fbacked No16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac06…e808backed No25c123.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.552429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+45.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7308…c177backed No28c119.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.862330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfab5…690dbacked No60c108.33$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652951.7%15 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeabd…3a01backed No24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0258…13bfbacked No62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6218162.4%113 W · 68 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…c11dbacked No45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452450%12 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5896…c848backed Yes78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-52.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa8df…f480backed No36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Yes39c95.26$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.526274.4%195 W · 67 L+45.7wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+31.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x2501…472cbacked Yes55c91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-69.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec75…2e8fbacked Yes40c90.35$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.083644.4%16 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc453…2bcdbacked Yes67c86.68$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.65554.5%30 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+38.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc3b7…5456backed Yes80c77$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc54e…9598backed Yes65c70$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.47065.7%46 W · 24 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x0495…c68fbacked Yes75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.671435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-46.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb24e…a2e5backed Yes79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.29633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-56%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69f7…e1d8backed No23c63.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick40cpaid+71%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x180f…77b5backed Yes62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca99…49a6backed Yes35c59.86$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.91450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+214.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.