Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $225 in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39792ced30b9c6b1388651f73025d5c1fc0a15823b6ac5b7600cb9d4f78193ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29a1…77bbbacked No | 28c | 17,926$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 74c | 14,843$10,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,858.91 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 25c | 10,060$2,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.5 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 70c | 9,371$6,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,832 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 70c | 5,802$4,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.67 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed Yes | 74c | 5,745$4,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.21 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…4197backed No | 35c | 3,735$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…0eb4backed Yes | 71c | 2,700$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 8c | 2,269$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2adf…d89cbacked No | 24c | 2,219$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.78 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +16.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 16c | 2,125$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.62 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc88b…dba8backed No | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked No | 32c | 1,797$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.7 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a55…cfc4backed Yes | 71c | 1,600$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…a376backed Yes | 71c | 1,500$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821c…ffc7backed Yes | 71c | 1,500$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc453…2bcdbacked Yes | 71c | 1,200$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.5 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked Yes | 71c | 1,066$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.29 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Yes | 79c | 884.32$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.45 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 882$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…7776backed No | 25c | 370$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked No | 12c | 350$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed No | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7e…d472backed Yes | 80c | 311.44$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.29 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994f…71edbacked Yes | 67c | 180$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…76f6backed No | 24c | 145.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x543f…2e82backed No | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked No | 36c | 114.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Yes | 67c | 112.43$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6f…340bbacked Yes | 68c | 96.08$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf98…d0bfbacked No | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 62c | 51.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Yes | 71c | 28.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x929f…def4backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a76…2023backed Yes | 73c | 20.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 71c | 15.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $225 in September?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $130 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $150 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $160 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $165 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $170 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $175 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $180 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $185 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $190 in September?No won
- Will Solana reach $205 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $210 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $215 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $220 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $235 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $240 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $250 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $270 in September?No won
- Will Solana reach $300 in September?No won
- Will Solana reach $350 in September?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.