Will Solana reach $300 in September?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a60d4e41417d6badb5a5ccfa8dcbc20a4d188ec5535f1cf07752fbdb73fdd10

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 1, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $453,357
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $523,702

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $453,357 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x20f9…4cdbbacked Yes	14c	25,803$3,543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,542.76	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed Yes	12c	17,867$2,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,153.52	291	26.5%77 W · 214 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes	13c	16,573$2,169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,169.28	638	35.4%226 W · 412 L	+18.1wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb68a…c568backed Yes	12c	14,333$1,678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,678.09	222	16.2%36 W · 186 L	-14.9wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes	5c	13,582$709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$708.88	258	24%62 W · 196 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	12,224$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.89	1,844	4.4%81 W · 1,763 L	-13.1wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f51…531ebacked Yes	1c	10,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	52	0%0 W · 52 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ee…7182backed Yes	3c	9,159$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf33…3727backed Yes	17c	8,692$1,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,455.86	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10bf…c877backed Yes	1c	8,577$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb045…d4cebacked Yes	12c	8,395$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc0de…8cc4backed Yes	0c	7,376$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14b2…2642backed Yes	12c	7,217$857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$857.38	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes	10c	6,750$694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$694.09	325	24.3%79 W · 246 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45ab…a546backed Yes	2c	4,925$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.88	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd980…5be0backed Yes	13c	4,294$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	112	10.7%12 W · 100 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	7cpaid	+120.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes	14c	4,253$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$615.25	150	23.3%35 W · 115 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fbd…fe0bbacked Yes	24c	4,070$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Yes	16c	3,959$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.97	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ba…c0eebacked No	73c	3,679$2,696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$983.19	26	80.8%21 W · 5 L	+4.5wins	+0.17per pick	63cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes	11c	3,000$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	69	50.7%35 W · 34 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb78b…5d40backed Yes	19c	3,000$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.94	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d4f…fda5backed Yes	14c	1,803$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes	1c	1,790$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.54	65	9.2%6 W · 59 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-77.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf52…29b7backed Yes	9c	1,681$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x615e…5295backed Yes	3c	1,662$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.07	227	0.9%2 W · 225 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-94.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe58f…75a4backed No	80c	1,500$1,195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.43per pick	76cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes	8c	1,488$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.03	128	24.2%31 W · 97 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8bb…3395backed Yes	6c	1,413$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+2.6wins	+0.26per pick	24cpaid	+112.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8666…d7c7backed Yes	12c	999.99$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	59	33.9%20 W · 39 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0556…b36abacked Yes	2c	966.9$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.1	36	2.8%1 W · 35 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-86%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes	14c	865.19$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.23	40	2.5%1 W · 39 L	-5.9wins	-0.15per pick	17cpaid	-96.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes	22c	860.72$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.81	90	41.1%37 W · 53 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a38…360bbacked Yes	9c	774.6$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.56	116	5.2%6 W · 110 L	-6.9wins	-0.06per pick	11cpaid	-77.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd39…5028backed Yes	15c	774.2$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes	13c	762.92$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.18	86	19.8%17 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5426…1339backed Yes	3c	666.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	0%0 W · 29 L	-6.1wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0892…48d8backed Yes	7c	557.46$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.02	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x330d…1639backed Yes	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5d6…31a3backed Yes	11c	518.55$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.54	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc72d…320fbacked Yes	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b02…393ebacked Yes	22c	499.97$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.99	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…da7ebacked Yes	13c	484.54$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.11	46	17.4%8 W · 38 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	-33%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61d0…1d86backed No	78c	484.36$378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.51	194	39.2%76 W · 118 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…7bcbbacked Yes	16c	476.12$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.14	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9567…e505backed No	77c	450$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.5	51	70.6%36 W · 15 L	+4.4wins	+0.09per pick	62cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes	11c	429.23$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.01	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-3.5wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f85…2b60backed Yes	5c	424.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca99…49a6backed Yes	13c	369.23$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.27per pick	23cpaid	+214.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91f1…4bf3backed Yes	15c	343.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd861…ecccbacked Yes	12c	335.66$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-4.7wins	-0.20per pick	25cpaid	-93.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x47bf…0727backed Yes	24c	332.13$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.71	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76c4…bbc5backed Yes	25c	320.24$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-2.5wins	-0.14per pick	25cpaid	-78.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7308…c177backed Yes	16c	310.41$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.8	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	7c	300$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.38	63	11.1%7 W · 56 L	+4.4wins	+0.07per pick	4cpaid	+519.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5821…c11dbacked Yes	22c	300$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5dd5…0ec9backed No	75c	300$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	69cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	14c	285.71$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	53	18.9%10 W · 43 L	-8.0wins	-0.15per pick	34cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Yes	14c	255.16$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.97	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc3…d29ebacked Yes	14c	251.62$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.23	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c1c…575abacked Yes	10c	240$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe540…7106backed Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x091e…eef4backed Yes	14c	214.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	25	8%2 W · 23 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	15cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdf2…4fedbacked Yes	14c	200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf475…ee8cbacked Yes	18c	194.44$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-2.0wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0e4…e73dbacked Yes	20c	163.7$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.71	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c3…8d4ebacked Yes	12c	161.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes	18c	154.66$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.84	305	31.1%95 W · 210 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b97…6643backed Yes	11c	151.26$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08e2…e722backed Yes	18c	136.96$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x101e…d4dabacked Yes	17c	135.93$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.52	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaddd…52b3backed No	78c	134.62$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.62	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e43…14dcbacked Yes	14c	115.64$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.19	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	13c	112.49$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.67	648	12%78 W · 570 L	-61.6wins	-0.10per pick	22cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes	12c	108$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.96	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8981…06e8backed No	76c	100$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3a…48f8backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Yes	13c	95.32$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.28	262	74.4%195 W · 67 L	+45.7wins	+0.17per pick	57cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x0da7…ca6cbacked Yes	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee5f…5468backed Yes	23c	86.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b7…5456backed No	78c	80$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.6	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a0a…10edbacked Yes	16c	62.59$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c57…461abacked Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x472a…9033backed No	80c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	21	76.2%16 W · 5 L	+4.0wins	+0.19per pick	57cpaid	+34%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf8ee…5ea5backed No	80c	34.78$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.05	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+43%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dbc…a8c1backed No	78c	25.64$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.64	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	68cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed4e…061fbacked No	76c	15.59$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.74	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0abe…1315backed No	80c	13.59$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.72	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Solana reach $300 in September?this page
Will Solana dip to $100 in September?No won
Will Solana dip to $130 in September?No won
Will Solana dip to $150 in September?No won
Will Solana dip to $160 in September?No won
Will Solana dip to $165 in September?No won
Will Solana dip to $170 in September?No won
Will Solana dip to $175 in September?No won
Will Solana dip to $180 in September?No won
Will Solana dip to $185 in September?No won
Will Solana dip to $190 in September?No won
Will Solana reach $205 in September?Yes won
Will Solana reach $210 in September?Yes won
Will Solana reach $215 in September?Yes won
Will Solana reach $220 in September?Yes won
Will Solana reach $225 in September?Yes won
Will Solana reach $235 in September?Yes won
Will Solana reach $240 in September?Yes won
Will Solana reach $250 in September?Yes won
Will Solana reach $270 in September?No won
Will Solana reach $350 in September?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Solana reach $300 in September?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event