Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $215 in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x973d0a9ec65f46e8f34e4bbca4c5cbb205a2cdf65ddd48e56fd06c514761e648
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c5d…4197backed No | 11c | 71,317$7,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,493.63 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed No | 9c | 19,898$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.62 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed Yes | 78c | 5,811$4,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.79 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…0309backed No | 14c | 2,500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.55 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 10c | 1,759$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.74 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…0eb4backed No | 13c | 1,400$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a55…cfc4backed No | 12c | 1,000$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…7776backed No | 24c | 1,000$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.5 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…a376backed No | 12c | 900$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821c…ffc7backed No | 12c | 900$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked No | 12c | 850$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc453…2bcdbacked No | 13c | 468.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked No | 18c | 463.31$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.57 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…ae37backed Yes | 80c | 375.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.19 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf53…3f0dbacked No | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8079…b9cbbacked Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…e808backed No | 12c | 165.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f79…30e1backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3da…3d6abacked No | 22c | 54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8b…6fc5backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca90…49d6backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…c033backed Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…ce43backed Yes | 80c | 22.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1b…92debacked Yes | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0916…04d8backed Yes | 80c | 17.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $215 in September?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $130 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $150 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $160 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $165 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $170 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $175 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $180 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $185 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $190 in September?No won
- Will Solana reach $205 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $210 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $220 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $225 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $235 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $240 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $250 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $270 in September?No won
- Will Solana reach $300 in September?No won
- Will Solana reach $350 in September?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.