Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $185 in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3234b2378845370b2442c08fe6e68fd96199e2180177a3abd662bf1c0c9122d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $258,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $278,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 11c | 23,472$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed No | 61c | 13,901$8,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,406.23 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 40c | 12,097$4,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,836.83 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 10,191$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked No | 46c | 9,223$4,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,946.42 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 48c | 8,910$4,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,274.25 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 79c | 8,633$6,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.09 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 40c | 7,296$2,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,946.14 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 13c | 6,759$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.84 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45ab…a546backed Yes | 5c | 6,546$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.69 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2adf…d89cbacked No | 76c | 6,529$4,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.23 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +16.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…3291backed No | 78c | 6,396$4,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…0371backed Yes | 24c | 5,668$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.57 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 9c | 4,033$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.76 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed No | 51c | 3,942$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed No | 79c | 3,848$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 37c | 3,759$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.88 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 69c | 2,855$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.21 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Yes | 30c | 2,348$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.81 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes | 23c | 2,230$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.73 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 76c | 2,178$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.27 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…3d6bbacked No | 65c | 1,041$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.17 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7458…fecfbacked No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed Yes | 1c | 999.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 22c | 881.42$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.42 | 65 | 9.2%6 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked No | 45c | 860.71$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.83 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 33c | 860$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.04 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…77fcbacked Yes | 16c | 628.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9b7bbacked No | 70c | 574.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.71 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 17c | 499.3$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.63 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 10c | 460$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…f8bbbacked Yes | 5c | 423.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 119 | 8.4%10 W · 109 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed Yes | 20c | 407.71$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +223.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed No | 50c | 340$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.75 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 30c | 333$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c3…022fbacked No | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…0eb4backed Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 57c | 295$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.55 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Yes | 16c | 251.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…b36abacked Yes | 7c | 249.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -86%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17aa…cb3dbacked Yes | 20c | 245.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 18c | 194.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 17cpaid | -96.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…3fe3backed Yes | 52c | 190.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc453…2bcdbacked Yes | 40c | 166.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69f7…e1d8backed No | 63c | 143.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +71%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc8…d12ebacked No | 77c | 129.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 49c | 126$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.88 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…ff54backed Yes | 9c | 115.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5d…2fafbacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d8…ff32backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…0333backed No | 78c | 98.92$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…1076backed No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x416b…c3fcbacked Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…28e9backed No | 35c | 71.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…66a6backed No | 54c | 65.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbc…3b68backed Yes | 49c | 61.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…b783backed No | 52c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd310…be53backed No | 50c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 67 | 77.6%52 W · 15 L | +12.1wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 28c | 44.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdb…04eabacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a88…59d7backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…8914backed No | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6990…3c50backed No | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fb…c689backed No | 73c | 16.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $185 in September?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $130 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $150 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $160 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $165 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $170 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $175 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $180 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $190 in September?No won
- Will Solana reach $205 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $210 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $215 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $220 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $225 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $235 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $240 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $250 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $270 in September?No won
- Will Solana reach $300 in September?No won
- Will Solana reach $350 in September?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.