Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $350 in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0fa10e4ed57d5e7627979f2947e2de8c9855f3823a96a92e872bcaf3626e478
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $418,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $473,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $418,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ca4…acd5backed Yes | 0c | 99,995$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f9…4cdbbacked Yes | 3c | 25,977$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 3c | 12,766$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.84 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 4c | 11,005$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.69 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 10,351$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.82 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…0ec7backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 1.9%1 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -97.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…abeabacked Yes | 3c | 10,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa10a…28b1backed Yes | 3c | 6,167$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 3c | 5,656$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.88 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…2642backed Yes | 3c | 5,304$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.21 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 3c | 4,188$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.61 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…8e82backed Yes | 2c | 4,124$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d87…53a1backed Yes | 1c | 3,656$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc1…1173backed Yes | 3c | 2,857$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1207…cdecbacked Yes | 3c | 2,816$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…da7ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,708$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.65 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 4c | 2,694$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.98 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…360bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,062$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.63 | 116 | 5.2%6 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7745…1721backed Yes | 1c | 2,040$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x493f…3c26backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…a724backed Yes | 3c | 1,883$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ff…bbd1backed Yes | 4c | 1,800$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91a6…0a02backed Yes | 3c | 1,664$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…ecccbacked Yes | 3c | 1,548$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 25cpaid | -93.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5426…1339backed Yes | 1c | 1,448$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes | 2c | 1,444$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb7…44f2backed Yes | 4c | 1,365$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…4c70backed Yes | 6c | 1,119$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73eb…7d73backed Yes | 1c | 922.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf475…ee8cbacked Yes | 4c | 762.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Yes | 5c | 751.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…17e4backed Yes | 2c | 645.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f71…912dbacked Yes | 4c | 633$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 4c | 581.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da7…ca6cbacked Yes | 3c | 571.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13eb…6e72backed Yes | 4c | 553.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505d…7d62backed Yes | 5c | 535.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…e601backed Yes | 5c | 472.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…8059backed Yes | 3c | 401.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $350 in September?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $130 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $150 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $160 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $165 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $170 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $175 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $180 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $185 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $190 in September?No won
- Will Solana reach $205 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $210 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $215 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $220 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $225 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $235 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $240 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $250 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $270 in September?No won
- Will Solana reach $300 in September?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.