Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $240 in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2391971246802489b547e4f520bc70cd23a8add8d1e8d5b5377c1161f559258c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $363,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $365,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $363,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50a8…143fbacked No | 0c | 277,778$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 57c | 9,814$5,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,180.97 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 43c | 8,441$3,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,780 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed No | 55c | 7,760$4,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,255 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed Yes | 68c | 6,456$4,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.73 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked No | 49c | 3,888$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.61 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2adf…d89cbacked Yes | 61c | 3,160$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.9 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +16.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 6c | 3,007$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.27 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…2a81backed No | 47c | 2,681$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked No | 53c | 2,246$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.87 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 41c | 1,554$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.57 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe758…c90ebacked No | 55c | 1,542$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 67c | 1,505$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.55 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed No | 21c | 1,500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…07a8backed No | 25c | 1,344$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,200$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.93 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 1,055$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x086d…fe29backed Yes | 56c | 900$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Yes | 76c | 805.99$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.77 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 70c | 700$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…0eb4backed Yes | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe290…7fb0backed No | 45c | 670$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…6c83backed No | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…0309backed No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…7776backed No | 46c | 490$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.4 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8149…f490backed No | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Yes | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +11.1wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c3…022fbacked No | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked Yes | 53c | 350$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a55…cfc4backed Yes | 53c | 330.85$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.5 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc932…3545backed Yes | 77c | 316$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.91 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…0eb8backed No | 41c | 312.77$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…a376backed Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d3…bc19backed Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Yes | 46c | 190.77$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160f…3539backed No | 59c | 169.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f8…aef5backed No | 45c | 165$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…28e9backed No | 31c | 161.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes | 45c | 161.34$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.93 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…1076backed No | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…3d6bbacked No | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x543f…2e82backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked No | 53c | 71.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…7ee1backed Yes | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29da…1ff7backed No | 40c | 58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 44c | 46.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x320d…ee08backed No | 40c | 44.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…da0fbacked No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d01…c5abbacked Yes | 57c | 42.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…9f4abacked No | 53c | 40.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -12.2wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 17cpaid | -96.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f2…6ff5backed Yes | 50c | 39.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48a4…f779backed Yes | 71c | 27.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd310…be53backed Yes | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 67 | 77.6%52 W · 15 L | +12.1wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc54e…9598backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $240 in September?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $130 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $150 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $160 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $165 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $170 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $175 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $180 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $185 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $190 in September?No won
- Will Solana reach $205 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $210 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $215 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $220 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $225 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $235 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $250 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $270 in September?No won
- Will Solana reach $300 in September?No won
- Will Solana reach $350 in September?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.