TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb6f2…6ff5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 56 out of 100; worst Movies at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+111.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$49.2
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$557.04
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,010.8
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$190
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.8
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.73
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$115
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 18 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85.66
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+144.7%+$50.85
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,231.2
Will XRP reach $3.40 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.65
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$24.75
Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.25
Will Solana dip to $150 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Solana reach $240 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+100.5%+$19.7
Will Solana reach $220 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$28.54
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Ethereum all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+107.7%+$295.6
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,558Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+73.6%+$1,146.45
Fartcoin all time high before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick21cpaid-48.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$48.72
Will a Justin Bieber song reach #1 this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$51.58
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” have between 35–40 million views on Friday at noon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Taylor Swift mention Travis Kelce on her new album?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Justin Bieber's album 'SWAG II' have over 160k sales in its first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.7
Sabrina Carpenter holds 3 top 10 spots on Billboard Hot 100 for week of September 13th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.7
Sabrina Carpenter's 'Man's Best Friend' >375k first week sales?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get less than 5m views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.9
Will Tyler, The Creator's album 'DON'T TAP THE GLASS' have over 200k sales by July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+469.6%+$55.88
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.22per pick23cpaid+96.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+66.7%+$14
Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$37.37
Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+400%+$40
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Pump.fun airdrop in Q3 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$38.5
Will Monad perform an airdrop by September 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$106.18
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Pump.fun market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Hyperliquid or Bitcoin all time high first?backed Hyperliquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-86.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.45
Will Trump announce Michelle Bowman as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.92
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will four or more people dissent the September Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.3
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$4.95
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick21cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$69.3
Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will AG.AL win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,103.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+1,103.6%+$771.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.