Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c4823aafbe6bf931478b1fe3b30a1437663233e22b4492aebe7b0ac457623e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,302,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,133,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,302,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 16c | 143,791$22,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,967.33 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 20c | 105,368$21,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,470.26 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 12c | 78,609$9,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,056.28 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…eb5fbacked Yes | 17c | 61,462$10,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,383.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1462…156ebacked Yes | 5c | 49,742$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280.78 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f23…bfe3backed Yes | 9c | 49,460$4,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,417.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 22c | 35,080$7,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,880.09 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1cfabacked Yes | 17c | 32,911$5,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,707 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f8…8d75backed Yes | 11c | 30,883$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,319.73 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ae…15e0backed Yes | 7c | 30,564$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…8abebacked No | 79c | 30,500$24,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,405 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked No | 58c | 30,436$17,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,729.09 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 36c | 30,041$10,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,756.09 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…f8bbbacked Yes | 2c | 27,240$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.69 | 119 | 8.4%10 W · 109 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b2…17e4backed Yes | 8c | 25,250$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 13c | 23,157$2,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,944.68 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f1…2417backed Yes | 5c | 21,349$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.51 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf7…da78backed No | 75c | 19,905$14,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,931.67 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 9c | 18,166$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.13 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eab…7badbacked Yes | 19c | 15,308$2,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,906.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Yes | 19c | 15,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 20c | 13,633$2,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703.53 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed No | 69c | 12,485$8,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,832.45 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed No | 79c | 11,576$9,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411.42 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 10,275$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…2bf1backed No | 70c | 9,749$6,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,946.69 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x463b…7a7fbacked Yes | 7c | 8,278$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 12c | 8,202$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbb…22f0backed No | 63c | 8,196$5,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,032.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdd…13f3backed No | 61c | 6,553$3,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +222.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…e38fbacked Yes | 12c | 6,367$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…cf04backed Yes | 10c | 6,333$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.89 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 6,241$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.05 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…38acbacked Yes | 50c | 5,954$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,965.36 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdb…14d8backed Yes | 18c | 5,597$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a9…73e8backed No | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.08 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 74c | 5,149$3,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.06 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 5c | 5,128$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.97 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e0…7395backed No | 73c | 5,086$3,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9613…7528backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 73c | 5,000$3,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 25c | 4,935$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.69 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1e…a7afbacked Yes | 34c | 4,469$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.95 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 13c | 4,361$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.21 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed Yes | 11c | 4,000$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 14c | 3,972$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.42 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…d54ebacked Yes | 35c | 3,900$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 9c | 3,790$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.21 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…b2d3backed No | 68c | 3,740$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.99 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked No | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf626…8a12backed Yes | 42c | 3,589$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…205bbacked No | 77c | 3,385$2,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.74 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 3,344$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.77 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…06eebacked Yes | 3c | 3,245$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked No | 77c | 3,215$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.25 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 12c | 3,180$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.05 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…cb9bbacked No | 59c | 2,695$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 15c | 2,592$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.57 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 19c | 2,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x190c…8cf4backed Yes | 8c | 2,417$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…4afdbacked Yes | 25c | 2,378$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 19c | 2,322$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.88 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Yes | 20c | 2,157$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.89 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d92…b63dbacked Yes | 9c | 2,009$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 30c | 1,865$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.75 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 50c | 1,850$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.5 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 42c | 1,850$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a90…93bfbacked No | 58c | 1,700$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…823cbacked Yes | 31c | 1,678$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.3 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28d8…18d9backed Yes | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068d…70d3backed Yes | 6c | 1,498$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 6cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Yes | 35c | 1,477$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed No | 80c | 1,460$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,436$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.24 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…783ebacked No | 80c | 1,318$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.67 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…d849backed Yes | 13c | 1,305$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x052c…5a0ebacked Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…09b1backed Yes | 13c | 1,271$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6f…340bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,210$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.32 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x512c…d419backed Yes | 30c | 1,152$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.66 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2b…b404backed Yes | 5c | 1,132$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…0b68backed Yes | 25c | 1,100$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked No | 69c | 1,100$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…6b43backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 14cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…94c6backed Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…9684backed No | 78c | 943.36$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.21 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -7.7wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -35%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x02a0…beeebacked No | 69c | 936.32$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 22c | 915.89$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 40c | 910$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…edd1backed Yes | 33c | 860$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed No | 62c | 851$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.14 | 19 | 94.7%18 W · 1 L | +5.6wins | +0.30per pick | 65cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x431d…b7a6backed No | 60c | 850$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…feacbacked Yes | 15c | 799.97$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 9c | 799.76$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked No | 64c | 788.32$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.8 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in August?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $111K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $112K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $114K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $117K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $118K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $135K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200K in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.