Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in August?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa430ea29c47642442c9479da0dc7b92cee103dccdad45656010080bc5a9e769b

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Sep 1, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,680,233
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,861,932

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,680,233 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x01dd…f8bbbacked Yes	6c	185,453$10,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,779.74	119	8.4%10 W · 109 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	5cpaid	+90.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc54…d4dcbacked Yes	13c	81,828$10,292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,291.55	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8378…8b50backed Yes	9c	54,997$5,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,149.81	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes	0c	50,050$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	120	25%30 W · 90 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes	6c	32,059$2,081 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,081.13	128	24.2%31 W · 97 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes	9c	23,790$2,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,093.52	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Yes	9c	23,506$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,099.84	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes	7c	16,436$1,081 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080.76	258	24%62 W · 196 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8eab…7badbacked Yes	10c	15,862$1,569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,568.94	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed Yes	12c	12,931$1,554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,554.3	581	26.9%156 W · 425 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a4…eff2backed Yes	10c	10,927$1,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,048.51	87	13.8%12 W · 75 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes	10c	10,104$1,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,011.52	878	28.4%249 W · 629 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes	14c	10,084$1,417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,417.01	86	19.8%17 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes	4c	10,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-75.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97bc…30cdbacked Yes	12c	8,747$1,075 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,075.46	67	23.9%16 W · 51 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	18cpaid	+111.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	5c	7,576$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.26	1,844	4.4%81 W · 1,763 L	-13.1wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e50…91a9backed Yes	1c	6,200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf186…6b94backed Yes	18c	5,881$1,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,060.46	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x068d…70d3backed Yes	1c	5,349$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.87	45	17.8%8 W · 37 L	+5.2wins	+0.12per pick	6cpaid	+50.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes	5c	4,875$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.77	184	25%46 W · 138 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes	13c	4,619$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590.61	113	16.8%19 W · 94 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde8c…0d4dbacked Yes	2c	4,568$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes	4c	4,311$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.22	37	5.4%2 W · 35 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0d9…94c6backed Yes	3c	3,957$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.22	70	20%14 W · 56 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb88…9b5dbacked Yes	7c	3,827$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.13	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6271…784ebacked Yes	13c	3,711$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5914…88fcbacked Yes	2c	3,343$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50a5…bafebacked Yes	9c	3,316$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.93	234	11.1%26 W · 208 L	+9.2wins	+0.04per pick	7cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes	6c	3,302$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.05	55	14.5%8 W · 47 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1032…8f91backed Yes	7c	3,118$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.5	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05da…5691backed Yes	19c	2,966$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.31	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1462…156ebacked Yes	4c	2,921$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.4	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e35…c89abacked Yes	18c	2,709$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.54	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8718…db3abacked Yes	24c	2,450$587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587.07	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	11c	2,405$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.04	648	12%78 W · 570 L	-61.6wins	-0.10per pick	22cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0556…b36abacked Yes	3c	2,369$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.4	36	2.8%1 W · 35 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-86%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82ea…60c2backed No	80c	2,252$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$451.87	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x013d…3e88backed Yes	3c	2,250$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.75	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…4afdbacked Yes	25c	2,034$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09db…c089backed Yes	14c	1,791$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.21	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	-86.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d92…b63dbacked Yes	9c	1,760$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No	76c	1,750$1,338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$412.5	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-14%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c8e…d8fcbacked Yes	2c	1,712$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.78	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes	6c	1,650$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.3	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+2.7wins	+0.12per pick	29cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e1e…a7afbacked No	78c	1,432$1,118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313.71	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Yes	14c	1,339$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.13	65	27.7%18 W · 47 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06c0…5615backed Yes	10c	1,268$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.11	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bac…cf49backed Yes	4c	1,230$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.99	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dc2…0933backed No	79c	1,210$951 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.18	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca4…9837backed Yes	16c	1,100$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	-4.9wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x766f…bb42backed Yes	9c	1,077$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.96	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.11per pick	14cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes	18c	1,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d1…67ccbacked Yes	5c	841$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.81	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.30per pick	45cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes	3c	816.41$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.49	64	17.2%11 W · 53 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+163.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d0…1d86backed Yes	8c	770$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.33	194	39.2%76 W · 118 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7459…4eb3backed Yes	22c	681.82$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x837b…e8bebacked Yes	6c	671.17$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.27	23	13%3 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2843…b3d2backed Yes	2c	647.37$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.85	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+5.5wins	+0.15per pick	40cpaid	+16%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1e34…ed3fbacked Yes	8c	599.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.8	64	25%16 W · 48 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	77	46.8%36 W · 41 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0c3…8cd8backed Yes	18c	560$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-78%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa663…438dbacked Yes	18c	550$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fce…2566backed Yes	3c	546.6$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.94	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x512c…d419backed Yes	19c	530$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.7	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cec…9d57backed Yes	19c	514.21$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd026…1245backed Yes	6c	500$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.45	51	19.6%10 W · 41 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb4…6f0fbacked Yes	5c	473$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.54	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5924…c4dbbacked Yes	4c	465.12$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	10cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47e8…8c6cbacked Yes	4c	459$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b9c…0010backed Yes	5c	457$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf5…95adbacked Yes	17c	400$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	36cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x295d…accebacked Yes	4c	399.4$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.04	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf353…7aecbacked Yes	16c	375$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed Yes	4c	362.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	+3.5wins	+0.10per pick	22cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2bd1…4d9ebacked Yes	3c	358.33$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6eea…4bb0backed Yes	5c	350$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e04…cb20backed Yes	4c	350$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cb8…8e75backed Yes	3c	349.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee8…0865backed Yes	4c	340$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc2cd…4620backed Yes	7c	290$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.33	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	14cpaid	-73.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce73…544abacked Yes	14c	285.71$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa705…9d48backed Yes	5c	283$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.43	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd43e…206fbacked Yes	7c	262$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.82	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1834…795abacked Yes	14c	258.01$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	-3.6wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes	18c	225$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.5	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1168…b6eebacked Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	22cpaid	-73.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x505d…7d62backed Yes	7c	220.59$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	43	9.3%4 W · 39 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-63.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd98e…10b2backed Yes	14c	214.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01ad…9474backed No	80c	210$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.15per pick	71cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0bc…d428backed Yes	22c	200$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+4.8wins	+0.17per pick	32cpaid	+36.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6927…2539backed Yes	6c	185$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.55	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x536a…7de2backed Yes	24c	166.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa366…54efbacked No	80c	158$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.6	157	54.8%86 W · 71 L	+8.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58d3…c14bbacked Yes	7c	150$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	19cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb9…44f5backed Yes	10c	141$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.93	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x767c…2a8dbacked Yes	9c	120$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe0…bf14backed No	80c	120$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	65cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb36…09f3backed Yes	10c	111.11$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.11	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	-12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x070b…2d6dbacked Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in August?this page
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in August?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?Yes won
Will Bitcoin dip to $111K in August?Yes won
Will Bitcoin dip to $112K in August?Yes won
Will Bitcoin dip to $114K in August?Yes won
Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in August?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in August?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in August?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $117K in August?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $118K in August?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in August?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $135K in August?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in August?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in August?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in August?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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