Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06b598a3e9ca0a0d3ae6b2c212b5c72074ff1a01228ec6c96e68406248792f19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,930,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,988,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,930,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 555 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 1c | 184,174$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.68 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…eb1dbacked No | 78c | 73,131$56,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,383.33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 32c | 72,997$23,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,313.3 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1cfabacked Yes | 19c | 53,656$10,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,340.68 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed Yes | 41c | 46,423$18,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,816.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 60c | 45,889$27,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,261.44 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 19c | 43,362$8,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,374.92 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Yes | 8c | 40,000$3,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,109.7 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Yes | 42c | 32,585$13,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,715.1 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 8c | 31,651$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.88 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8187…d1c8backed Yes | 67c | 31,026$20,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,854.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 35c | 30,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,499.98 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…87e0backed No | 58c | 28,296$16,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,963.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 54c | 26,900$14,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,474.3 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed No | 77c | 26,443$20,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,150.99 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…4bf3backed Yes | 31c | 26,040$7,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,987.92 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 0c | 25,190$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.98 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 34c | 22,938$7,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,703.36 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 16c | 21,664$3,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,422.39 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8664…dd88backed No | 67c | 19,474$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,474.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 64c | 19,036$12,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,846.24 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 7c | 17,727$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.44 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Yes | 71c | 16,872$12,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,033.85 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba97…12cfbacked Yes | 9c | 15,389$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe97c…2a99backed No | 51c | 15,000$7,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,308.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e22…f021backed Yes | 37c | 14,415$5,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,309.38 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -63%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…0b68backed Yes | 13c | 14,284$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.98 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…f606backed Yes | 18c | 12,928$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…5e16backed Yes | 29c | 12,214$3,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,593.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20e…0a5ebacked Yes | 3c | 12,143$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.61 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…102cbacked Yes | 48c | 11,618$5,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,614.85 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 9c | 11,384$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.75 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 3c | 10,872$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7694…2b66backed Yes | 49c | 10,840$5,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.26 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…4999backed No | 66c | 10,773$7,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,612.62 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4a…089fbacked Yes | 26c | 10,480$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,701.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed No | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…8f91backed No | 54c | 9,811$5,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,505.07 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…51d4backed No | 58c | 9,470$5,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,962.02 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…942cbacked No | 53c | 8,995$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,195.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068d…70d3backed Yes | 1c | 8,532$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.01 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 6cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 18c | 8,530$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.3 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 40c | 8,451$3,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,353.65 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…2a97backed No | 53c | 8,228$4,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,868.01 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…3c45backed Yes | 31c | 8,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7614…ac0abacked Yes | 54c | 7,913$4,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,272.99 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 2c | 7,839$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…d54ebacked Yes | 32c | 7,750$2,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,507.23 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 7,538$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.85 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 39c | 7,186$2,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,814.28 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed No | 75c | 6,800$5,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5c…b34abacked Yes | 74c | 6,751$4,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,995.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed Yes | 22c | 6,500$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…a25ebacked No | 64c | 6,491$4,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9133…aa0fbacked Yes | 8c | 6,080$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.4 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5131…cd65backed Yes | 63c | 6,072$3,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,855.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1c…55cabacked Yes | 3c | 6,061$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d2…233abacked Yes | 60c | 6,059$3,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,634.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed No | 68c | 6,000$4,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.71 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 66c | 6,000$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes | 56c | 6,000$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,340 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbb…22f0backed No | 65c | 5,856$3,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 8c | 5,850$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.47 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…1cedbacked Yes | 14c | 5,788$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbe…1c89backed Yes | 2c | 5,465$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…9800backed No | 75c | 5,303$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.91 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54d…72f8backed Yes | 11c | 5,280$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0592…70e7backed Yes | 14c | 5,025$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x457d…0f36backed Yes | 4c | 5,004$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.81 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 12c | 5,000$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.99 | 68 | 10.3%7 W · 61 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ba…e7ebbacked Yes | 4c | 4,920$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…38acbacked Yes | 10c | 4,883$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.95 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…f499backed Yes | 32c | 4,845$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf714…74d6backed No | 63c | 4,800$3,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.65 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c08…6507backed Yes | 70c | 4,732$3,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,312.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 9c | 4,199$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.35 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf7…da78backed No | 61c | 4,158$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.03 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…16a6backed Yes | 17c | 4,000$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked No | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…46e5backed Yes | 4c | 3,971$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.41 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…1f11backed Yes | 19c | 3,896$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe816…ff03backed Yes | 2c | 3,881$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 63c | 3,850$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.37 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yes | 55c | 3,840$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…eb4bbacked No | 55c | 3,824$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cba…7a80backed Yes | 8c | 3,810$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.76 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed No | 37c | 3,791$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…1d80backed Yes | 5c | 3,712$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.12 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…2f81backed Yes | 8c | 3,490$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Yes | 3c | 3,434$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.85 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd321…a77fbacked No | 70c | 3,427$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.38 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe25…4e99backed No | 68c | 3,421$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.38 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…360bbacked Yes | 7c | 3,345$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.72 | 116 | 5.2%6 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…3fdebacked Yes | 70c | 3,300$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked No | 13c | 3,254$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +169.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…0eb4backed No | 70c | 3,100$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.47 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 19c | 3,024$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.05 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed No | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c5…3533backed No | 79c | 3,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…ff11backed Yes | 26c | 2,994$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.02 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $111K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $112K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $114K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $117K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $118K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $135K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200K in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.