Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $117K in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81ee82d579aeef9af590b625f419ef6f800c41a83e340c28085d38467e8c3b1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $404,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $416,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $404,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb99d…1cfabacked No | 0c | 62,205$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x290e…f979backed No | 17c | 34,008$5,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,681.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d4…ffb3backed No | 8c | 25,680$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 13c | 22,555$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.71 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 11c | 20,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…0a62backed Yes | 79c | 15,755$12,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,263.72 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…784ebacked No | 9c | 8,692$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.72 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf21…7482backed Yes | 77c | 6,762$5,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…0df3backed No | 3c | 6,600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…87e0backed No | 17c | 5,105$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…4ccfbacked Yes | 79c | 5,000$3,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed Yes | 75c | 4,518$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.37 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked Yes | 77c | 3,554$2,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.47 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8378…8b50backed No | 20c | 3,412$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…51d4backed No | 21c | 3,180$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.99 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x431d…b7a6backed No | 21c | 3,090$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 3,003$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…7c1fbacked Yes | 74c | 2,687$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.12 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 19c | 2,426$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.32 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed No | 4c | 2,205$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.58 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdc…49ffbacked No | 12c | 1,900$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1e…a7afbacked No | 18c | 1,400$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae6…2e0abacked No | 19c | 1,319$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…783ebacked No | 1c | 1,286$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 20c | 1,268$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.39 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7614…ac0abacked Yes | 79c | 1,267$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.05 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…6c64backed No | 21c | 1,172$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 9c | 1,150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked No | 20c | 1,112$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7694…2b66backed No | 21c | 1,091$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.97 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac6…66b2backed No | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954f…e699backed No | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…2ef6backed No | 23c | 925$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb357…827fbacked No | 4c | 860.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5131…2541backed No | 6c | 860$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…0b68backed Yes | 76c | 800$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x660b…9852backed No | 5c | 799.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4052…89d6backed No | 27c | 748.43$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 24c | 700$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 32cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82ea…60c2backed No | 13c | 700$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc606…bb92backed Yes | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…7069backed No | 23c | 640.9$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…d8b7backed Yes | 80c | 638.9$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked Yes | 79c | 633$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.93 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e34…ed3fbacked Yes | 79c | 600$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 16c | 529.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.02 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked No | 18c | 500$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03be…f6d9backed Yes | 79c | 499.98$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfef5…1a76backed Yes | 80c | 487.5$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…a91dbacked Yes | 80c | 450$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96da…68b6backed No | 5c | 435$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c2…7c65backed No | 24c | 401.37$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.37 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked No | 22c | 357.23$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…b2d3backed Yes | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…2c8abacked Yes | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 12c | 299.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…8ca1backed Yes | 79c | 296.19$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…eec6backed No | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe55…77d6backed Yes | 78c | 255.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…6cb0backed No | 21c | 254$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed No | 8c | 229.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ca…7ce5backed Yes | 70c | 227$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee8…cfaabacked Yes | 80c | 225.6$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Yes | 78c | 210$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 19 | 94.7%18 W · 1 L | +5.6wins | +0.30per pick | 65cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed No | 22c | 201.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…a40cbacked Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -11.2wins | -0.35per pick | 72cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a3…44edbacked No | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d8…ff32backed Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa628…1943backed Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8f…0644backed No | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9133…aa0fbacked Yes | 80c | 197.63$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08e7…86b6backed Yes | 78c | 193.19$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…39babacked Yes | 80c | 171.24$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb1…86cdbacked Yes | 80c | 164.93$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…b412backed Yes | 80c | 159$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…75eabacked Yes | 78c | 149.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 19c | 149.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…470bbacked Yes | 80c | 133.58$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da7…ca6cbacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f5…828abacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x334b…2a76backed No | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…9f4abacked No | 21c | 122.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -12.2wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3a…2637backed Yes | 80c | 107.95$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked No | 17c | 100.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5740…b146backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x214c…eb00backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…46e5backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fa…9795backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…ad1fbacked Yes | 78c | 76.18$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 78c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1834…795abacked Yes | 79c | 74.83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…af34backed No | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa5…3c24backed No | 18c | 64.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 62cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e70…8152backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e05…32d8backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…21e5backed Yes | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…8529backed Yes | 79c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $117K in August?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $111K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $112K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $114K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $118K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $135K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200K in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.