Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $111K in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34be1ef646e1d4c7c782711e72d3d04094cc49cf4f7d4c333f144bad143db9b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,886,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,016,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,886,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d8…a862backed No | 69c | 444,843$305,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305,646.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 36c | 183,257$65,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117,453.14 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 33c | 146,534$49,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,470.59 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 41c | 123,722$50,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,263.16 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…3a9bbacked No | 13c | 82,551$10,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,419 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf7…da78backed Yes | 37c | 81,340$29,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,393.07 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09ea…0fc1backed No | 0c | 70,279$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 48c | 56,908$27,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,549.78 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f23…bfe3backed No | 9c | 54,429$4,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,963.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 24c | 42,050$10,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,993.4 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 53c | 35,793$19,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,133.78 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 49c | 22,000$10,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,824.98 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 11c | 17,750$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.13 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 46c | 16,850$7,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,026.74 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…323fbacked No | 75c | 13,436$10,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,063.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 39c | 13,312$5,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,173.22 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb37…fbacbacked No | 62c | 11,900$7,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,353.09 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 38c | 10,548$4,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,501.49 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes | 72c | 9,000$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcde8…018ebacked No | 65c | 8,800$5,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,697.46 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…0eb4backed Yes | 39c | 7,970$3,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,887.16 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…cb9bbacked No | 41c | 7,805$3,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,209.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 33c | 7,466$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.31 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…0b68backed Yes | 49c | 6,148$3,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137.07 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4131…7a55backed Yes | 32c | 5,681$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,881.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +215.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6f…340bbacked Yes | 41c | 5,545$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,259.11 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed No | 70c | 5,451$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800.49 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 36c | 5,425$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,463.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc728…9c2dbacked No | 3c | 5,302$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.36 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…51d4backed No | 58c | 5,222$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,028.54 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ba…e7ebbacked No | 69c | 4,649$3,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,215.42 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 57c | 4,360$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.4 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 43c | 4,206$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.12 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yes | 36c | 4,011$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,567.11 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2154…715cbacked No | 59c | 3,985$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.95 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 30c | 3,672$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.85 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 69c | 3,646$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.9 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…b2d3backed No | 50c | 3,600$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked No | 54c | 3,579$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.77 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked No | 24c | 3,108$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.24 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…783ebacked No | 33c | 3,041$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277f…ed32backed Yes | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc79…fa6bbacked No | 77c | 2,737$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8f…0644backed Yes | 39c | 2,700$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.73 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked Yes | 37c | 2,500$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.86 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ea…60c2backed Yes | 38c | 2,200$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.24 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 25c | 2,050$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.94 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…eb5fbacked Yes | 49c | 2,010$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec1…ddfebacked Yes | 48c | 2,000$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed No | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df0…2bfcbacked Yes | 39c | 1,915$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.24 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1b…20debacked Yes | 66c | 1,663$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.07 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 59c | 1,508$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.86 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x837c…efc1backed Yes | 69c | 1,507$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.83 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…3fdebacked No | 34c | 1,480$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.2 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…ae37backed No | 16c | 1,438$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2f…cd03backed Yes | 18c | 1,417$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.67 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1e…a7afbacked No | 73c | 1,300$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.65 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…9a72backed Yes | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…8075backed Yes | 70c | 1,280$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.2 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f50…f7cdbacked Yes | 68c | 1,030$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 66c | 950$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.5 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…4afdbacked Yes | 16c | 937.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…8aa4backed Yes | 80c | 928$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.28 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…9027backed No | 36c | 917.73$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked No | 2c | 900$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d92…b63dbacked Yes | 35c | 816.27$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.46 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd135…9c62backed Yes | 67c | 812.6$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.56 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked Yes | 42c | 750$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 43c | 700$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…205bbacked Yes | 40c | 698.53$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.79 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c87…c35fbacked Yes | 27c | 607.89$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Yes | 27c | 602.33$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.63 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ca…0138backed Yes | 46c | 569.21$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.72 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d7…cf4bbacked Yes | 68c | 567.71$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.57 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee8…cfaabacked Yes | 65c | 540.2$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x102e…1793backed No | 69c | 520.67$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa455…8806backed Yes | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked No | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed Yes | 64c | 499.5$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.39 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 69cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 38c | 494.58$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.27 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 77c | 470.97$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.32 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…4bf3backed No | 77c | 469.73$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.55 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5924…c4dbbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…c174backed Yes | 69c | 452.84$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.52 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 64c | 450.69$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee5…7bf0backed No | 45c | 445$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.25 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…98aebacked Yes | 70c | 423.09$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.93 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87ee…041bbacked Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9133…aa0fbacked Yes | 68c | 393.65$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.08 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 22c | 390$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.55 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…1da2backed Yes | 74c | 376.03$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…3738backed Yes | 27c | 371.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.85 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…436bbacked Yes | 38c | 356.63$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.11 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -65%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked No | 41c | 324.55$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.85 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 29c | 324$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…6fabbacked No | 70c | 323.26$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $111K in August?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $112K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $114K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $117K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $118K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $135K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200K in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.