Will Bitcoin reach $150K in August?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a2de0775ed1464d82d71fe17311a2deec1079bfec2e0899e8646e5ad7ab625b

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Sep 1, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,607,782
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,299,630

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,607,782 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xde24…25a8backed Yes	2c	499,097$9,432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,431.71	59	0%0 W · 59 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x104a…5b05backed Yes	5c	155,692$7,356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,356.01	80	17.5%14 W · 66 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes	1c	82,374$1,233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,233.24	103	13.6%14 W · 89 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	2c	66,427$1,451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,450.77	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-72.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50a5…bafebacked Yes	3c	49,215$1,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,455.98	234	11.1%26 W · 208 L	+9.2wins	+0.04per pick	7cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13cb…a48abacked Yes	2c	47,872$904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$904.26	99	13.1%13 W · 86 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	2c	46,364$1,145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,145.07	50	34%17 W · 33 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b2…17e4backed Yes	2c	30,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	17cpaid	-81.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8768…dd9bbacked Yes	4c	26,074$967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$967.13	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-50%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes	1c	25,239$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.49	37	5.4%2 W · 35 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02ee…0938backed Yes	2c	17,000$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.57	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f8d…436bbacked Yes	3c	13,849$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.17	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-65%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e34…ed3fbacked Yes	1c	13,000$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151	64	25%16 W · 48 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x269c…58c2backed Yes	3c	12,991$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	50	6%3 W · 47 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	13cpaid	-84.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b83…f984backed Yes	0c	12,825$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.65	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3d3…66ffbacked Yes	4c	12,727$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6590…3a26backed Yes	0c	12,498$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	229	0%0 W · 229 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes	6c	11,188$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635.68	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…0ec7backed Yes	0c	11,065$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	53	1.9%1 W · 52 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-97.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbe…1c89backed Yes	2c	10,260$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes	2c	10,018$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.38	150	23.3%35 W · 115 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76c4…bbc5backed Yes	2c	8,120$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-2.5wins	-0.14per pick	25cpaid	-78.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x457d…0f36backed Yes	1c	8,103$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.46	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	16cpaid	-90.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaca4…9837backed Yes	2c	8,000$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	-4.9wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x65fe…e38fbacked Yes	5c	7,812$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2843…e0bbbacked Yes	2c	7,010$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.45	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd5d…13adbacked Yes	2c	6,348$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4cbd…5010backed Yes	2c	4,977$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	11cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16d6…df2ebacked Yes	2c	4,574$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.91	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8301…5068backed Yes	2c	4,504$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa8…5d61backed Yes	2c	4,348$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92eb…986abacked Yes	2c	4,252$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x806d…38f3backed Yes	2c	4,227$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd536…a218backed Yes	2c	4,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf54b…b800backed Yes	3c	3,937$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0264…49a2backed Yes	2c	3,673$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.73	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbd3…3afebacked Yes	2c	3,333$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.99	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-2.8wins	-0.12per pick	20cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	3,300$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.41	1,844	4.4%81 W · 1,763 L	-13.1wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd29…102cbacked Yes	2c	3,242$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.85	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0812…a9b4backed Yes	2c	3,114$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.71	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00b7…ab78backed Yes	4c	3,000$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	27cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf750…4abbbacked Yes	2c	3,000$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	114	42.1%48 W · 66 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x837b…e8bebacked Yes	2c	2,773$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	23	13%3 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x615e…5295backed Yes	1c	2,550$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.8	227	0.9%2 W · 225 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-94.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes	0c	2,500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	23	0%0 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2030…6bb0backed Yes	2c	2,472$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.92	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda82…eb29backed Yes	2c	2,132$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4b7…af8fbacked Yes	2c	2,083$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff5…459ebacked Yes	0c	2,045$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a38…360bbacked Yes	3c	2,013$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.76	116	5.2%6 W · 110 L	-6.9wins	-0.06per pick	11cpaid	-77.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13ea…4815backed Yes	2c	2,000$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ec9…e7abbacked Yes	1c	2,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0b6…f594backed Yes	2c	1,996$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.93	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe918…dd23backed Yes	2c	1,717$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	21	0%0 W · 21 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57f0…d33dbacked Yes	3c	1,682$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.63	30	6.7%2 W · 28 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-84.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes	3c	1,665$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.37	55	14.5%8 W · 47 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f2a…cbefbacked Yes	2c	1,526$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.06	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Yes	2c	1,510$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.88	65	27.7%18 W · 47 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb914…3713backed Yes	1c	1,270$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes	2c	1,167$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	103	0%0 W · 103 L	-7.9wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd730…f872backed Yes	2c	1,167$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5d6…e6d7backed Yes	2c	1,120$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b1c…55cabacked Yes	2c	1,111$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	42	2.4%1 W · 41 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0013…3c30backed Yes	3c	1,071$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	2c	1,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	63	11.1%7 W · 56 L	+4.4wins	+0.07per pick	4cpaid	+519.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec0e…1e4ebacked Yes	2c	1,000$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d04…6946backed Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes	2c	999.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes	2c	999.95$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.9	68	10.3%7 W · 61 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-77.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd396…384dbacked Yes	2c	932.63$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.71	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfca6…4e9dbacked Yes	2c	930.95$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd67f…70febacked Yes	2c	847.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e50…1fbdbacked Yes	2c	833.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes	2c	799.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.6	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	8cpaid	-7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x642c…4357backed Yes	3c	795$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7b6…8080backed Yes	6c	756.39$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.94	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.44per pick	22cpaid	+124.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ce3…2979backed Yes	2c	648.26$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.91	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ba4…55e9backed Yes	2c	634.92$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1e9…755abacked Yes	4c	629.98$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.64	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ff…abe7backed Yes	3c	549$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.73	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb31f…819bbacked Yes	2c	480$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aae…1206backed Yes	5c	466$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabc2…cbadbacked Yes	3c	434.9$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.18	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f71…912dbacked Yes	6c	378.86$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	69	5.8%4 W · 65 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1168…b6eebacked Yes	3c	357.14$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	22cpaid	-73.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f0b…8734backed Yes	4c	315$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.55	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf974…7706backed Yes	5c	304$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.68	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaab2…d5f5backed Yes	3c	296$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.06	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9362…0625backed Yes	5c	276.94$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.83	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf47…4155backed Yes	4c	250$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3076…485ebacked Yes	6c	229.51$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Bitcoin reach $150K in August?this page
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in August?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in August?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?Yes won
Will Bitcoin dip to $111K in August?Yes won
Will Bitcoin dip to $112K in August?Yes won
Will Bitcoin dip to $114K in August?Yes won
Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in August?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in August?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in August?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $117K in August?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $118K in August?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in August?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $135K in August?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in August?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Bitcoin reach $150K in August?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event