Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dee0687effec3886b287dbc11aa37451ed5044b52fe43f07c8e0bd17b0f356c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,681,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,720,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,681,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 1c | 115,214$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.22 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Yes | 8c | 75,137$6,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,259.5 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 16c | 75,043$11,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,847.26 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 11c | 58,692$6,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,628.61 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1cfabacked Yes | 14c | 41,323$5,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,901.89 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 15c | 29,944$4,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,351.53 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e34…ed3fbacked Yes | 5c | 24,000$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.5 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…5ab9backed No | 74c | 23,376$17,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,079.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +122%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 27c | 22,185$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f1…6712backed No | 70c | 19,937$13,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,945.38 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 21c | 19,186$3,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,984.86 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5724…73e5backed Yes | 23c | 18,500$4,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,179.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…a862backed No | 78c | 17,649$13,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,890.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 20c | 15,820$3,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,166.17 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 22c | 15,491$3,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,462.48 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 6c | 15,293$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.93 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 16c | 13,332$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.6 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 3c | 11,000$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 68 | 10.3%7 W · 61 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 10,070$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b2…17e4backed Yes | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.92 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yes | 40c | 9,328$3,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,776 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5637…1a14backed No | 69c | 8,681$5,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 25c | 8,495$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.91 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…58c2backed Yes | 5c | 8,186$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 19c | 8,043$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.07 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 63c | 8,000$5,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…8f91backed No | 72c | 7,646$5,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.32 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 1c | 7,613$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54d…72f8backed Yes | 5c | 7,134$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed No | 66c | 6,944$4,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.8 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 2c | 6,819$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes | 40c | 6,500$2,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,619.69 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…c9c1backed Yes | 7c | 6,220$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.8 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…d7c7backed Yes | 18c | 5,559$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed Yes | 48c | 5,400$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x226d…4142backed Yes | 1c | 5,339$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…d54ebacked Yes | 19c | 4,845$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.43 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Yes | 17c | 4,834$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.72 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57ea…a29cbacked Yes | 14c | 4,812$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.36 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…942cbacked No | 65c | 4,627$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…102cbacked Yes | 26c | 4,350$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.68 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,163$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.62 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf7…da78backed No | 77c | 4,159$3,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.07 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…16a6backed Yes | 6c | 4,000$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.88 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068d…70d3backed Yes | 5c | 3,942$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.86 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 6cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1c…55cabacked Yes | 2c | 3,754$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a18…55c7backed Yes | 53c | 3,561$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c2…c25fbacked Yes | 18c | 3,541$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x376b…f45abacked Yes | 25c | 3,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d2…233abacked Yes | 33c | 3,443$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed No | 51c | 3,399$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked Yes | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 4c | 3,001$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.03 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 57c | 2,999$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.65 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1462…156ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,984$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…f5d2backed Yes | 15c | 2,808$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 8cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 26c | 2,705$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.42 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 65c | 2,698$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.57 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 15c | 2,613$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.36 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 25c | 2,603$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.64 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…bd53backed No | 80c | 2,387$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.08 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda82…eb29backed Yes | 29c | 2,383$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe597…9c19backed Yes | 25c | 2,328$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…7e27backed Yes | 13c | 2,310$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…784ebacked Yes | 16c | 2,290$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…4ab8backed Yes | 3c | 2,271$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…32f2backed No | 75c | 2,256$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.12 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…12b0backed Yes | 2c | 2,150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…eb4bbacked No | 66c | 2,000$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb7…44f2backed Yes | 21c | 2,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…783ebacked No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 10c | 1,922$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.29 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4f…0652backed Yes | 14c | 1,899$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.56 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63fb…4367backed Yes | 14c | 1,870$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x052c…5a0ebacked No | 80c | 1,756$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…436bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,646$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.31 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -65%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Yes | 18c | 1,643$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.74 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e8…d6c3backed Yes | 4c | 1,600$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee2…b9cbbacked Yes | 14c | 1,565$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 19c | 1,400$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ee…041bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,356$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ef…d3f6backed Yes | 3c | 1,350$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…cee3backed Yes | 38c | 1,321$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 65c | 1,262$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.33 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…b2d3backed No | 69c | 1,200$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63e1…92e6backed Yes | 1c | 1,189$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x136e…9a6cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,183$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a04…ae43backed Yes | 3c | 1,167$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 5c | 1,132$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…b36abacked Yes | 3c | 1,130$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -86%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…134fbacked No | 63c | 1,105$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.47 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…8d43backed No | 75c | 1,100$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 39c | 1,036$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf0…e09fbacked Yes | 21c | 1,005$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.84 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x457d…0f36backed Yes | 4c | 1,004$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb192…cc5cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78b…5d40backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…9837backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09aa…d10fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $111K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $112K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $114K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $117K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $118K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $135K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200K in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.