Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8eb3fc0b83a689f164b8a38fa2e88316bdadb3a13e72b4eeab8074b00af5e33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $438,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $435,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $438,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Yes | 73c | 55,155$40,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,663.56 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 69c | 32,492$22,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,149.31 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed No | 18c | 26,807$4,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,789.28 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…87e0backed No | 39c | 20,650$7,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,965.93 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 27c | 19,473$5,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,238.01 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…d54ebacked No | 23c | 13,000$3,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,054.25 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8664…dd88backed No | 41c | 12,333$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 28c | 10,680$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.74 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked No | 27c | 9,690$2,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,635.81 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 8c | 7,867$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.19 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1cfabacked Yes | 65c | 7,136$4,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.91 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed No | 5c | 5,980$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked Yes | 67c | 5,773$3,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.45 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x290e…f979backed No | 41c | 5,734$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…942cbacked No | 27c | 5,549$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf7…da78backed No | 22c | 5,052$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.69 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 40c | 4,175$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.56 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabdc…49ffbacked No | 24c | 4,000$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…8f91backed No | 30c | 3,740$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.53 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 60c | 3,653$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.11 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…51d4backed No | 30c | 3,615$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.12 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 20c | 3,421$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.15 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed No | 20c | 3,396$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.02 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbb…22f0backed Yes | 64c | 3,234$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 20c | 3,018$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.75 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked No | 38c | 2,699$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa09c…f710backed No | 3c | 2,636$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked Yes | 53c | 2,600$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd86c…98aabacked No | 42c | 2,511$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.65 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…fb84backed No | 28c | 2,339$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.1 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd4…84ddbacked No | 41c | 2,328$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.8 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x052c…5a0ebacked No | 26c | 2,308$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7458…fecfbacked Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…783ebacked No | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…4ccfbacked No | 28c | 2,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 22c | 1,969$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.82 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 15c | 1,958$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…823cbacked No | 27c | 1,900$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7694…2b66backed Yes | 71c | 1,835$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.13 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f69…9c7abacked No | 28c | 1,799$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…d1cabacked Yes | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 74c | 1,605$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.13 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…5babbacked Yes | 75c | 1,547$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb37…fbacbacked Yes | 73c | 1,500$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e8…874fbacked Yes | 68c | 1,457$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0812…a9b4backed Yes | 68c | 1,403$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd19…101ebacked No | 12c | 1,350$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 29c | 1,254$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.43 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yes | 71c | 1,206$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.77 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Yes | 76c | 1,184$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…8075backed Yes | 74c | 1,025$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.58 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 39c | 999.93$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.97 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…6cb0backed No | 22c | 972.08$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.34 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0926…51dabacked Yes | 65c | 923.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -86%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…4afdbacked Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 19c | 866.12$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.61 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked Yes | 60c | 834$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.6 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c9…a2efbacked Yes | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked No | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 59c | 773.43$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.11 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…2ef6backed No | 42c | 750$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 64c | 748.85$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.59 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 64c | 702.85$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.41 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…ff11backed Yes | 72c | 695.49$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.62 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d0…264cbacked No | 16c | 650$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…784ebacked No | 26c | 599.94$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.63 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked No | 40c | 522.87$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.88 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 66c | 521.98$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.57 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2a…cbefbacked Yes | 79c | 512.89$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4052…89d6backed No | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed No | 40c | 512$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.8 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e34…ed3fbacked Yes | 60c | 510$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.8 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a90…93bfbacked No | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4f…01eabacked No | 43c | 493.32$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…58b7backed No | 42c | 466.67$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…1d80backed No | 17c | 455$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…205bbacked Yes | 77c | 454.67$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.57 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…b2d3backed Yes | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x097e…b149backed No | 26c | 399.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x837c…efc1backed Yes | 74c | 351.89$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.49 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd46…58a6backed No | 39c | 350$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…75eabacked Yes | 67c | 349.98$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.49 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13dd…b2b7backed No | 29c | 345.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf0…e09fbacked Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…dbb2backed No | 38c | 326.33$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c2…7c65backed No | 40c | 320$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa5…c950backed Yes | 64c | 314.36$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…0df3backed No | 29c | 309.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed No | 29c | 289.02$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.24 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +11.1wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 21c | 270$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 32cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e59…a19ebacked No | 39c | 259.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1500…d35abacked No | 42c | 256.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked Yes | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x338e…0945backed Yes | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980f…5b55backed No | 31c | 249.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d50…7f6dbacked No | 26c | 246.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622d…2ebebacked Yes | 72c | 245.78$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $120K in August?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $111K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $112K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $114K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $117K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $118K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $135K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200K in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.