Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $135K in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9f775ddf09a506e81569ac9bef6502528052251097bbdbef46490be208e85cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,152,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,068,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,152,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 2c | 364,373$7,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,281.77 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1cfabacked Yes | 8c | 80,942$6,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,844.36 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc54…d4dcbacked Yes | 7c | 80,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 7c | 72,800$5,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,301.3 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 4c | 69,284$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964.75 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed Yes | 10c | 65,899$6,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,487.42 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 9c | 65,061$5,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,540.08 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 13c | 55,998$7,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,301 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e34…ed3fbacked Yes | 5c | 27,030$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.09 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 12c | 26,950$3,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,185.94 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d5…df2fbacked Yes | 10c | 26,840$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa040…907bbacked Yes | 7c | 26,749$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 3c | 25,666$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.53 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6a…0eadbacked Yes | 0c | 25,570$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 9c | 23,838$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,223.97 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 11c | 23,749$2,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,568.25 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Yes | 12c | 20,842$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…7ec3backed Yes | 18c | 16,025$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,919.87 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…096abacked No | 78c | 13,560$10,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,924.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd39f…d494backed Yes | 8c | 13,317$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 1c | 13,165$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.3 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 12,498$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Yes | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 1c | 9,625$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 13c | 8,775$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.46 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 6,709$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.79 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 8c | 6,514$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.85 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…58c2backed Yes | 5c | 6,052$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54d…72f8backed Yes | 5c | 6,050$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee2…b9cbbacked Yes | 7c | 5,715$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked Yes | 9c | 5,555$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 25c | 5,421$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.63 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 3c | 5,000$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 68 | 10.3%7 W · 61 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…784ebacked Yes | 9c | 4,388$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.33 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…102cbacked Yes | 12c | 4,307$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.65 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…4ab8backed Yes | 6c | 4,182$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.48 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832f…a0e1backed Yes | 7c | 4,000$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.92 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1c…55cabacked Yes | 1c | 3,210$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…d54ebacked Yes | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…232ebacked No | 73c | 2,863$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.98 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f71…912dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,838$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.26 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…e38fbacked Yes | 12c | 2,801$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…84f9backed Yes | 7c | 2,694$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ee…041bbacked Yes | 12c | 2,563$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb17…dc94backed Yes | 4c | 2,465$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8301…5068backed Yes | 8c | 2,422$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x136e…9a6cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,401$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.96 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2a…cbefbacked Yes | 8c | 2,200$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 2,133$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.11 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x105e…b066backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…9837backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.96 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b2…17e4backed Yes | 6c | 1,966$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.96 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f0…d33dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,854$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.83 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1462…156ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,786$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…360bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,762$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.65 | 116 | 5.2%6 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0926…51dabacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -86%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76c4…bbc5backed Yes | 10c | 1,600$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x837b…e8bebacked Yes | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09aa…d10fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44d2…0c43backed Yes | 1c | 1,495$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b39…abbabacked Yes | 7c | 1,401$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…5f3ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,382$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 8c | 1,362$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 6c | 1,359$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.32 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068d…70d3backed Yes | 2c | 1,348$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 6cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbd…5010backed Yes | 9c | 1,323$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.71 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa015…80bbbacked Yes | 8c | 1,275$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…46c9backed Yes | 9c | 1,222$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4f…0652backed Yes | 9c | 1,184$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361a…db54backed Yes | 10c | 1,054$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…df27backed Yes | 2c | 1,031$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Yes | 12c | 1,008$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d1…fd35backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…46e5backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…ab78backed Yes | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0812…a9b4backed Yes | 8c | 934.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe340…3ec2backed Yes | 17c | 842.03$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…32f2backed No | 75c | 814.07$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.23 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 777$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…986abacked Yes | 13c | 767.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8c…ae26backed Yes | 3c | 692.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 6c | 687.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba4…55e9backed Yes | 4c | 668.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…3afebacked Yes | 10c | 666$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 12c | 657.81$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.72 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…c272backed Yes | 16c | 610.69$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Yes | 10c | 605.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 22cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d28…04f7backed Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…b2d3backed No | 76c | 599.99$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…5c1fbacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…0eb4backed No | 75c | 555.52$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.88 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb04…8b8abacked Yes | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…eb94backed Yes | 17c | 531.38$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb9…44f5backed Yes | 3c | 531$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…eb4bbacked No | 78c | 518.99$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.18 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…4260backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…a519backed Yes | 2c | 473$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…dd23backed Yes | 7c | 414.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $135K in August?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $111K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $112K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $114K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $117K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $118K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120K in August?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150K in August?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200K in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.