TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e35…c89a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
236
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tweets, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 54 out of 100; worst World Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2025, EDT6711.9%8 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick7cpaid-32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.42
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.99
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$59
Will Elon tweet 270 or more times July 4–11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.4
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 4–11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.81
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 4–11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.15
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$142
Will Elon tweet 270 or more times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.84
Will Elon tweet 255–269 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.62
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+640.7%+$1,730
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.39
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.68
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.3
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.21
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.81
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$138.93
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.27
Will Elon tweet 235–249 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon tweet 190–204 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.87
Will Elon tweet 160–174 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$289.7
Will Elon tweet 220–234 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.37
Will Elon tweet 250–264 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Elon tweet 295 or more times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT5630.4%17 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guardians vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$198
Blue Jays vs. White Soxbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$108
Cubs vs. Twinsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$168
Blue Jays vs. White Soxbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$117
Guardians vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$168
Astros vs. Dodgersbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$610
White Sox vs. Rockiesbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Yankees vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.97
Reds vs. Philliesbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.74
Orioles vs. Bravesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$174
Giants vs. Athleticsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$114
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$44
Yankees vs. Metsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Reds vs. Philliesbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$190
Brewers vs. Marlinsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$135
Pirates vs. Marinersbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Yankees vs. Metsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.67
Reds vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$145
Padres vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$117
Brewers vs. Metsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$159
Astros vs. Rockiesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$120
Padres vs. Philliesbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$164.09
Rockies vs. Brewersbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+1,021.1%+$910.8
Athletics vs. Yankeesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
Rays vs. Oriolesbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.9
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT2218.2%4 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$295.74
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$487.54
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$860
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.83
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$123
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.1
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102K on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.41
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.48
Ethereum all time high by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.72
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$170
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.85
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+352.7%+$857
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $100K on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+73.9%+$170
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$126.67
Will Bitcoin reach $110K in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.02
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.95
Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Ethereum reach $2600 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+103.3%+$50.8
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.7
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-34.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+69.7%+$410.84
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.23
Wimbledon: Cobolli vs. Djokovic backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.93
Will Ben Shelton win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.55
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Dimitrov backed Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$330.68
Wimbledon: Shelton vs. Sonego backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$84
Wimbledon: De Minaur vs. Djokovic backed De Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
Wimbledon: Cilic vs. Cobolli backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+37%+$135
Will Andrey Rublev win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Wimbledon: Rublev vs. Alcaraz backed Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$81
Wimbledon: Jarry vs. Norrie backed Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+38.5%+$139
Will Alexander Bublik win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Will Lorenzo Musetti win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$243
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT166.3%1 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick22cpaid-80.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.31
Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$380
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$204
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$242.1
Thunder vs Pacers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.5
Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.53
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.93
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$164
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$68
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.68
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick25cpaid-74%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.98
Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.2
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+263.6%+$72.5
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$147
Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.56
Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$104
Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.64
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$74
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$73
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.35
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.63
Will another person be the next Pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.4
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$174.28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$331.37
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$207.79
Israel strike on Iran on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$128.88
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$816Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+175.7%+$1,433.84
Israel strike on Iran on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$182.21
Israel strike on Iran on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$89
Israel strike on Iran on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$136
Israel strike on Iran on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$76
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$588.16
Iran strike on Israel in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$179.63
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick11cpaid+101.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-40.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-72.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+179%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win 5-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.55
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+457.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+457.4%+$820.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.