TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Brewers vs. Mets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Brewersof Brewers, Mets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$198,745
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$217,983

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,745 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9708…925bbacked Brewers44c22,435$9,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,635.8216643.4%72 W · 94 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13ff…16a3backed Mets27c10,912$2,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,996.641637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mets43c7,126$3,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,044.549,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Mets33c6,662$2,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,223.2197950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4d1…8ce8backed Mets53c5,620$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.061729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked Mets53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6506642.4%28 W · 38 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mets13c4,957$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.722,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Mets55c4,384$2,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,411.0131248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Mets54c4,262$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.5549250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets55c3,885$2,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,127.272,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Brewers33c3,709$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,471.1133554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Brewers46c3,511$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,895.6815745.2%71 W · 86 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Brewers44c3,490$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.171,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa488…fb11backed Brewers34c2,929$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,928.572065%13 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Mets53c2,593$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.4271751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Mets54c2,407$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30069249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Mets1c2,172$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.294754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa21…3332backed Brewers47c2,074$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.791050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Mets2c2,051$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.215053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x879e…94e4backed Brewers46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Mets52c1,978$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.5611040.9%45 W · 65 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x448b…a674backed Brewers46c1,800$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Mets15c1,695$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.3640629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Mets46c1,652$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.1238741.1%159 W · 228 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Mets56c1,433$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.6812640.5%51 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Mets46c1,317$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.2413946.8%65 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcedc…7351backed Mets54c1,260$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd55d…2a37backed Brewers46c1,260$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.41030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc43…398cbacked Brewers42c1,250$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7315429.6%16 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Mets3c1,194$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.58762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e8b…c5e2backed Mets51c1,150$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.51080%8 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+62.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc73b…943abacked Brewers49c1,140$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.42933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e8…437cbacked Mets54c1,056$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.24757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Mets3c1,042$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Brewers45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5681…cac8backed Brewers45c999.98$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.995042%21 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Brewers45c999.97$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.9861346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ef…e25dbacked Brewers30c987$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.133455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc99b…7d85backed Mets54c944$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.76850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa14f…7926backed Mets75c927.53$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.5720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x63db…4401backed Mets54c906.99$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.78850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf7…b626backed Brewers45c899$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.451952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65d8…9462backed Mets55c899$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.45944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03d4…5f79backed Mets54c893$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.22633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-47%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ded…613cbacked Mets59c870.07$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.19650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84b8…8590backed Brewers50c843.55$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.863743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc605…d372backed Mets56c836.44$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.88641.9%36 W · 50 L-15.3wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x142d…dd52backed Mets54c800$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4321553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Brewers46c800$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4323943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x282c…784bbacked Mets59c656.04$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.447733.8%26 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Brewers47c641.28$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.2838455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Brewers49c640$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.413553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Brewers50c637.17$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.941,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3f5…32aebacked Mets56c620.61$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3455358.5%31 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Mets51c568.48$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.9614235.9%51 W · 91 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Brewers46c540$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.751,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25cc…3601backed Mets54c457.8$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.2110550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff24…76c1backed Mets55c449$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.959332.3%30 W · 63 L-16.8wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-36.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Mets6c437.61$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6839436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3587…23adbacked Brewers47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.537244.4%32 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Brewers52c412.77$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.7719849.5%98 W · 100 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x467a…0727backed Mets73c397.26$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-31.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4a2…4038backed Mets73c397.26$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Mets56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Brewers45c356$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.85,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eaf…e782backed Brewers32c351.88$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.272123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-48.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x534e…ecfebacked Mets54c338.57$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.9327458.8%161 W · 113 L+1.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa116…6f3bbacked Brewers60c324.65$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.336648.5%32 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Brewers45c300.35$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.8724248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Brewers46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1622,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e35…c89abacked Brewers47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1595630.4%17 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Mets54c299.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1623,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x061f…546fbacked Brewers38c299.32$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.58757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Mets47c288.51$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.841,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Brewers56c277.79$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4554048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x386d…9bb6backed Mets54c250$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1345232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Brewers45c223$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.651,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mets54c217$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.181,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ea…e15cbacked Brewers48c210.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2722351.6%115 W · 108 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6407…7d12backed Brewers49c205.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4918247.8%87 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Brewers45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Brewers29c197.32$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.0610527.6%29 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Mets55c191.82$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.54742.6%20 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Brewers47c185.11$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1131145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58a4…57d4backed Mets55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004341.9%18 W · 25 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Mets55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014753.7%79 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Mets55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Mets55c181.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5874…a9d7backed Brewers55c180.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.924953%132 W · 117 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Mets56c180$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.812337.4%46 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Mets56c178.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007556%42 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Brewers60c164.42$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.421,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Brewers33c152$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10217930.2%54 W · 125 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf93…9d1abacked Brewers45c144.91$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e18…88f6backed Brewers48c141$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.32560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Mets54c140$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.614048.6%68 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed Brewers49c133.02$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.849645.8%44 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Mets36c121$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8921044.8%94 W · 116 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Brewers47c121$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.962,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Mets52c120.24$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7570841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.