MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c5b9b271eded71f97ee5022ca9fd3ffa8860a50ada97f10aa0f14a9b6f575c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Padres, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $309,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $316,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $309,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Phillies | 58c | 88,342$51,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,062.3 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Padres | 42c | 87,001$36,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,503.84 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Phillies | 59c | 34,906$20,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,311.62 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 57c | 34,009$19,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,623.71 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Padres | 41c | 31,847$13,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,057.34 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Padres | 42c | 23,886$9,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,964.41 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Padres | 36c | 21,671$7,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,745.26 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Padres | 43c | 9,651$4,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,196.52 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Phillies | 60c | 7,686$4,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.42 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Phillies | 58c | 6,941$4,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,915.22 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Phillies | 60c | 6,837$4,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,758.09 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Padres | 40c | 6,446$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553.68 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Padres | 21c | 6,234$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.05 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Padres | 46c | 5,752$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652.69 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Phillies | 57c | 4,400$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.99 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 29c | 4,311$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.75 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Phillies | 70c | 3,407$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.1 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Padres | 41c | 3,260$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.35 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Padres | 45c | 3,128$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Phillies | 58c | 3,056$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.71 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Phillies | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Padres | 43c | 2,790$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.54 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Padres | 7c | 2,773$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.9 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Phillies | 65c | 2,466$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.28 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Phillies | 62c | 2,427$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.17 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Phillies | 59c | 2,108$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.39 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Padres | 2c | 2,071$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Padres | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.99 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 40c | 1,988$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.99 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Padres | 2c | 1,810$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Padres | 40c | 1,736$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.4 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Phillies | 64c | 1,567$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.39 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…a274backed Padres | 43c | 1,512$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Padres | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Padres | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…08bdbacked Padres | 45c | 1,230$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…bb3fbacked Phillies | 55c | 1,230$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa63a…9223backed Phillies | 73c | 1,194$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Padres | 40c | 1,052$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.8 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Phillies | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Phillies | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Padres | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Padres | 40c | 999.63$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phillies | 57c | 968.19$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.32 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Phillies | 61c | 810$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.1 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…cac8backed Phillies | 59c | 799.98$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.99 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Phillies | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Phillies | 60c | 625$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9850…4708backed Phillies | 60c | 611.7$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.7 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Phillies | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 40c | 583.98$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.59 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Padres | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Phillies | 59c | 568$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.44 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Phillies | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…dab2backed Padres | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Padres | 42c | 449.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.79 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Phillies | 69c | 432.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.17 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Padres | 39c | 356.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.23 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Padres | 40c | 343$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x697b…0d4ebacked Padres | 42c | 340$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…3e67backed Padres | 7c | 307.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Padres | 42c | 305.07$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.58 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Phillies | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Phillies | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Phillies | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Padres | 40c | 299.96$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Phillies | 46c | 299.28$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.61 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Padres | 5c | 292.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Padres | 40c | 260$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Padres | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Phillies | 59c | 255.26$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.66 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Padres | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…273bbacked Padres | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Padres | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Padres | 41c | 243.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Padres | 40c | 236.42$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.57 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Phillies | 58c | 236$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Padres | 16c | 224.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e38…1b55backed Padres | 42c | 217.52$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…9226backed Padres | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Phillies | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Padres | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Phillies | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Phillies | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Phillies | 60c | 196$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Padres | 42c | 186.63$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.59 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Padres | 40c | 185$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Padres | 40c | 182.51$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.83 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c39…b7a6backed Phillies | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Phillies | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Phillies | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Phillies | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Phillies | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…22ddbacked Phillies | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Phillies | 62c | 153$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Phillies | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d30…2463backed Padres | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Padres | 42c | 149.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Padres | 39c | 141.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.