NBA · resolved market
Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7e600e00a1909a360a363ba99bc88cd62d1823bab966366182684e06125e3dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $412,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $358,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $412,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 25c | 147,017$36,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,089.07 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Yes | 44c | 30,392$13,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,421.58 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 7c | 21,501$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.19 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 8c | 20,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 49c | 19,200$9,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,778.08 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 12c | 15,360$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.5 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Yes | 9c | 9,299$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.93 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 3c | 8,629$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.67 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 9c | 6,331$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.78 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 9c | 5,027$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.33 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 9c | 4,219$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.81 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 13c | 3,889$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.68 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…c82bbacked Yes | 9c | 3,514$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.64 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…9a73backed Yes | 10c | 3,130$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed No | 80c | 3,000$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…188bbacked Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 186 | 28%52 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 27c | 2,572$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.54 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 8c | 2,222$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.76 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Yes | 10c | 1,887$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.7 | 153 | 16.3%25 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…8494backed Yes | 11c | 1,813$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 11c | 1,800$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 6c | 1,600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Yes | 7c | 1,586$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x334b…d734backed Yes | 10c | 1,581$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.07 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed No | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9e…06c7backed Yes | 10c | 1,343$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…4478backed Yes | 30c | 1,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05fc…f78ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,322$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed Yes | 8c | 1,300$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 15c | 1,276$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.96 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5b…567dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c8…5c16backed Yes | 25c | 1,123$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.43 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…0800backed Yes | 10c | 1,050$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f30…f73bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…bbb0backed Yes | 13c | 974.79$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.26 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…5bbabacked Yes | 8c | 964$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Yes | 11c | 880$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625c…61d1backed Yes | 9c | 852.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 9c | 793$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.37 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 7c | 699$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 689.67$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x909d…41f3backed Yes | 11c | 689$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f0…f0d1backed Yes | 31c | 680.65$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…624abacked Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 19c | 637.78$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.07 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Yes | 12c | 625$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | -13.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d47…d584backed Yes | 26c | 577$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…c7edbacked Yes | 10c | 553.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…e021backed No | 71c | 542$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed Yes | 13c | 520.65$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…e333backed Yes | 13c | 517.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 9c | 509.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 26.6%46 W · 127 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d6…0704backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 187 | 55.6%104 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Yes | 9c | 499.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…8f7bbacked Yes | 13c | 477.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0d…2b92backed Yes | 12c | 468.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 9c | 461.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…045fbacked Yes | 11c | 456.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Yes | 27c | 433.33$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 71 | 19.7%14 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 15c | 392.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 9c | 333$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…0e2dbacked Yes | 29c | 331$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 12c | 329.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d5…a491backed Yes | 12c | 300$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Yes | 10c | 296.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c8…46cbbacked Yes | 29c | 295$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…e971backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab39…c22fbacked Yes | 11c | 278$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…6b9ebacked Yes | 11c | 272$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…d648backed Yes | 8c | 266.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 10c | 264.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb500…ce53backed Yes | 5c | 256.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -79%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…71eebacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…9816backed Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +205.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0c…711bbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf383…8b45backed Yes | 9c | 222.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c2…4992backed Yes | 10c | 217.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89d2…6031backed Yes | 29c | 204.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2279…d2f8backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x427a…e05abacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 11c | 181.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6042…6330backed Yes | 11c | 172.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…246cbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc09a…75b1backed Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 11c | 148.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Yes | 11c | 140$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…0c56backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1841…c63dbacked Yes | 9c | 122.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f9…8518backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…55bfbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…7375backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-3?this page
- Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-0?No won
- Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-1?No won
- Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-2?No won
- Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-0?No won
- Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-1?No won
- Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-2?No won
- Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-3?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.