TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x71f9…8518

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NHL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 60 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT3743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.75
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Raptors vs. Warriorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+150%+$37.5
76ers vs. Hawksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Heatbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+117.4%+$35.22
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Knicks vs. Thunder be the 2025 NBA Finals matchup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+132%+$132
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Celtics beat the Knicks 4-2backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$28.97
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$70.91
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+62.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$35.36
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Maple Leafs vs. Lightningbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+150%+$22.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Poirier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
UFC 317: Royval vs. Vanbacked Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.