NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x520a04fb6968a4c6b2809a3fb734c06f41ebd709768e408f25c0a595325f6b9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Panthers, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $292,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $305,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 432 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Panthers | 58c | 20,075$11,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,643.45 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…dcafbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,599.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Panthers | 31c | 16,805$5,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,209.14 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 15,195$6,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,812.99 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Panthers | 56c | 14,708$8,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,236.47 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Panthers | 56c | 13,750$7,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,677.01 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 11,937$6,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,616.55 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Maple Leafs | 67c | 10,620$7,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,522.64 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 9,682$5,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,905.79 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 9,037$3,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,331.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.76 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Panthers | 57c | 5,428$3,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,083.25 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers | 56c | 5,134$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.29 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Panthers | 58c | 5,034$2,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,901.97 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…9619backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 5,000$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.55 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 5,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.91 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 4,656$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.6 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 4,561$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.96 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 4,461$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,543.71 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Panthers | 53c | 4,452$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.67 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers | 58c | 4,424$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553.92 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ba…d879backed Panthers | 56c | 4,405$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…560fbacked Panthers | 49c | 4,073$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.95 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…dbf5backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 3,856$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 3,855$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.64 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Panthers | 61c | 3,508$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.53 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Panthers | 58c | 3,456$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Panthers | 58c | 3,449$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 3,280$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.48 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…102ebacked Panthers | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.98 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…f94abacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 2,978$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.68 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Panthers | 59c | 2,950$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.47 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 2,944$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.86 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 2,852$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.81 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 2,800$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.98 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 2,635$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.09 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Panthers | 57c | 2,537$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.56 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…1134backed Panthers | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.41per pick | 49cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 2,438$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.99 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Panthers | 48c | 2,251$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.39 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 2,222$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.52 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Panthers | 23c | 2,216$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c1…6038backed Panthers | 57c | 2,200$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Panthers | 54c | 2,148$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.72 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Panthers | 57c | 2,135$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.84 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 2,102$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.79 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 2,041$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.2 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Panthers | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.97 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Panthers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.94 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Panthers | 59c | 1,948$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.41 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9f…23f5backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,900$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…4c6bbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 1,800$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80d…f284backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,794$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Panthers | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Panthers | 61c | 1,648$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Panthers | 59c | 1,560$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.4 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…4280backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 1,499$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Panthers | 57c | 1,419$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.11 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Panthers | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.04 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Panthers | 58c | 1,331$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.7 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 1,301$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.82 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Panthers | 58c | 1,225$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…de50backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,176$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2377…5547backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,165$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…7720backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,157$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Panthers | 58c | 1,133$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.09 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5103…88b9backed Panthers | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65df…8397backed Panthers | 57c | 1,032$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 1,031$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.93 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 1,017$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.11 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 999.97$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 988.61$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.03 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 979$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.77 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…e328backed Panthers | 57c | 978.95$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Panthers | 55c | 940.57$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.31 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5be6…8506backed Panthers | 57c | 921.05$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Panthers | 57c | 917.98$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.25 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd65a…5529backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 900$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c9…3734backed Panthers | 58c | 900$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…fcb2backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 900$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb341…cbdcbacked Panthers | 56c | 899.99$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…d35bbacked Panthers | 58c | 893.81$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5698…53aebacked Panthers | 57c | 888.9$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Panthers | 57c | 885.42$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.9 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 877.87$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.16 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 835.2$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.42 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Panthers | 57c | 817.33$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.88 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 800.62$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.82 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29da…4d30backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 800$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7946…1c01backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 800$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c6…b9adbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 799.99$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 794.25$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.94 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 715.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.91 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Panthers | 58c | 700$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 697.92$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.27 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e0…ccb5backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 668.25$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.68 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.