NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90d254adaba7b0e581197f5d2ca99f6822e6d22f116bc8f7a031a910d8bfbca1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf426…e665backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 50,211$18,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,632.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…f95bbacked Lightning | 63c | 50,211$31,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,632.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 4,939$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,914.06 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 59c | 4,362$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583.86 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 3,346$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.69 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 3,000$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.99 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Lightning | 60c | 2,773$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.82 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 2,509$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.38 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 2,400$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.95 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Lightning | 63c | 2,379$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.79 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 2,148$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.03 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf414…cd58backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 32c | 1,962$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.66 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 1,643$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.47 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 1,640$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.53 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4384…bb5ebacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 1,635$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b2…f8d4backed Lightning | 62c | 1,626$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4eb…161fbacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 1,624$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.88 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…c6d1backed Lightning | 61c | 1,620$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Lightning | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Lightning | 63c | 1,600$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Lightning | 59c | 1,582$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.24 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Lightning | 7c | 1,565$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.55 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b02…e4e8backed Lightning | 63c | 1,551$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…2f35backed Lightning | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.91 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Lightning | 64c | 1,319$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.07 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 1,136$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.9 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lightning | 62c | 1,132$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.02 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lightning | 61c | 1,112$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.64 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Lightning | 45c | 1,078$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.22 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd837…ba4abacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 1,050$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Lightning | 37c | 1,000$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.3 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.31 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 899.91$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.94 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684a…1b69backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 846.5$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 820$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Lightning | 63c | 820$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.6 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -11.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Lightning | 61c | 750$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.5 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lightning | 62c | 615.92$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.34 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Lightning | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e22…5bfbbacked Maple Leafs | 69c | 578.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 70cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 524.93$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.94 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f5…84bcbacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf1…e491backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 499.87$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.92 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 476.37$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.33 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2644…daecbacked Lightning | 64c | 465.61$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…21d6backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 465$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Lightning | 61c | 440$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.4 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Maple Leafs | 68c | 410.56$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.38 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 409.84$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.2 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x745c…40d9backed Lightning | 62c | 402.16$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 352.93$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.82 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee5…208cbacked Lightning | 63c | 333.33$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Lightning | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Maple Leafs | 67c | 301.11$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.37 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7108…0252backed Lightning | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 297.3$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.3 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 287.46$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.02 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…e62cbacked Lightning | 64c | 275.45$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 271.41$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.41 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce02…f887backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 271.38$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.71 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…ea97backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 266.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.02 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d8…b86abacked Lightning | 64c | 262.05$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fd…fdfebacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 262$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7e…0be4backed Lightning | 63c | 253.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…2000backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 246.67$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…45e8backed Lightning | 64c | 233.17$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 224.85$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.16 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lightning | 60c | 222$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb92c…da18backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 202$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6043…767bbacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8896…7d78backed Lightning | 63c | 190.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…c3febacked Lightning | 58c | 182$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b7…dc48backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 179.46$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…2abcbacked Lightning | 61c | 171.12$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e5…a94fbacked Lightning | 64c | 165$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Maple Leafs | 71c | 160$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…9fd7backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 146.39$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…0467backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 145.7$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.79 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…e883backed Maple Leafs | 69c | 145.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 49c | 143.56$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.53 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 137.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.34 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…8affbacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58e5…0fa4backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 130$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67f…a3b2backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2f…654abacked Lightning | 58c | 116$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…6172backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 116$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3706…9347backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 111$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…3153backed Lightning | 58c | 111$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…845bbacked Lightning | 58c | 108$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1da…4aa1backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 108$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0330…9ebabacked Lightning | 58c | 107$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8a…9534backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 107$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.