NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84f1b737a590c55cd034cf4427c91b78786e64efd0230d360e8bc94f6f2ad0d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Nuggets, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,803,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,978,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,803,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 466 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae8f…089dbacked Nuggets | 0c | 240,735$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.87 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +172%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Thunder | 80c | 208,669$165,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,707.26 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Thunder | 80c | 189,964$151,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,592.74 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f4…bc4fbacked Nuggets | 21c | 169,608$35,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,361.32 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Nuggets | 20c | 162,692$33,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,006.75 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…cf9cbacked Nuggets | 1c | 138,227$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.37 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Thunder | 80c | 76,000$60,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,200 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Nuggets | 14c | 74,993$10,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,535.96 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Nuggets | 20c | 74,555$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Nuggets | 1c | 72,043$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.57 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Nuggets | 20c | 68,880$13,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,775.99 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Nuggets | 3c | 64,231$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.21 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Nuggets | 3c | 60,748$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.08 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nuggets | 14c | 56,619$8,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,047.99 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb75…0252backed Nuggets | 20c | 45,952$9,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,190.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nuggets | 3c | 44,822$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Thunder | 80c | 44,444$35,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,888.8 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…f347backed Nuggets | 19c | 37,578$7,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,139.88 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…4280backed Nuggets | 3c | 29,368$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +191.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nuggets | 14c | 26,078$3,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,671.52 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…3b0cbacked Nuggets | 6c | 26,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Thunder | 79c | 25,000$19,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,149.97 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Nuggets | 0c | 22,934$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 108 | 8.3%9 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Nuggets | 11c | 22,923$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Nuggets | 0c | 20,959$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Thunder | 80c | 20,918$16,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,183.58 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Thunder | 80c | 20,222$16,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,076.11 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ee…ed7bbacked Nuggets | 21c | 19,727$4,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,142.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…dcafbacked Thunder | 80c | 19,400$15,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,880 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf907…a8c1backed Nuggets | 7c | 19,106$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 23cpaid | +188.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…3696backed Nuggets | 2c | 16,890$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Nuggets | 7c | 16,754$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.44 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188d…6583backed Nuggets | 21c | 15,034$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed Nuggets | 20c | 15,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…cc9abacked Nuggets | 1c | 14,013$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Nuggets | 2c | 13,465$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.9 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Nuggets | 0c | 13,200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Nuggets | 2c | 13,013$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.12 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Thunder | 80c | 12,615$10,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,522.9 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Nuggets | 9c | 12,600$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.87 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Nuggets | 14c | 12,000$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Thunder | 80c | 11,735$9,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.98 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…207fbacked Nuggets | 2c | 11,729$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.5 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Nuggets | 13c | 11,218$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.84 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Nuggets | 1c | 10,766$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 87 | 14.9%13 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9136…7169backed Nuggets | 13c | 10,077$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…e4a7backed Nuggets | 3c | 10,000$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Nuggets | 0c | 10,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Nuggets | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…fbd0backed Nuggets | 19c | 9,995$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 19c | 9,919$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.41 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nuggets | 19c | 9,747$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.69 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Nuggets | 2c | 9,721$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.04 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Nuggets | 2c | 8,480$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.11 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Nuggets | 20c | 8,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Thunder | 79c | 8,000$6,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.99 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…96e4backed Nuggets | 4c | 7,654$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +7.8wins | +0.15per pick | 17cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nuggets | 18c | 7,550$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…8ba5backed Nuggets | 10c | 7,045$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Thunder | 80c | 6,732$5,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.38 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Nuggets | 18c | 6,666$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.88 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Nuggets | 5c | 6,500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Nuggets | 1c | 6,444$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 8cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Nuggets | 20c | 6,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Nuggets | 3c | 5,800$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Nuggets | 17c | 5,800$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Nuggets | 20c | 5,414$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 314 | 53.5%168 W · 146 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Nuggets | 19c | 5,321$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.07 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Thunder | 80c | 5,022$4,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nuggets | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1bb1backed Nuggets | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Thunder | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…bd0abacked Nuggets | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 20cpaid | +292.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Nuggets | 4c | 4,975$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Nuggets | 5c | 4,763$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.82 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322d…305fbacked Nuggets | 20c | 4,544$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac18…2e72backed Nuggets | 20c | 4,149$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 25cpaid | +195.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x721f…748bbacked Nuggets | 5c | 4,140$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Nuggets | 5c | 4,073$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.64 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Nuggets | 9c | 4,034$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.05 | 174 | 20.1%35 W · 139 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Nuggets | 18c | 4,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…f94abacked Nuggets | 19c | 3,988$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.72 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Nuggets | 12c | 3,500$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9623…0ae3backed Nuggets | 21c | 3,312$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Nuggets | 1c | 3,305$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Nuggets | 14c | 3,116$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.95 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf935…51abbacked Nuggets | 21c | 2,881$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 30cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe0…2576backed Nuggets | 8c | 2,700$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.48 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | +10.9wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f71…5b8bbacked Nuggets | 19c | 2,700$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…ecbabacked Nuggets | 20c | 2,595$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8128…456cbacked Nuggets | 3c | 2,537$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +6.5wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9674…b8cbbacked Nuggets | 18c | 2,517$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Nuggets | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…1678backed Nuggets | 8c | 2,476$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Nuggets | 8c | 2,400$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Nuggets | 6c | 2,385$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…e004backed Nuggets | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +143.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nuggets | 3c | 2,300$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Nuggets | 4c | 2,200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883d…667ebacked Nuggets | 1c | 2,094$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Thunderthis page
- Nuggets vs ThunderThunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.