TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbbe0…2576

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
133
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT9033.3%30 W · 60 L+10.9wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+22.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+60%+$75
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+344.4%+$155
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.99
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.53
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$325
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.99
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$63.39
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$456
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.45
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.28
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.58
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.74
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.17
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.9
Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Kim Dong-yeon be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$368
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.75
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+33.7%+$25.27
Will the Conservatives win between 120-139 seats in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.55
Will the Conservatives win between 140-149 seats in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+352.7%+$77.91
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will the Liberals win between 150-159 seats in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will the Liberals win between 160-169 seats in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+165.3%+$176.69
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick24cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.76
Sabres vs. Senatorsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.99
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.43
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.1
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-75%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$34.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Aug 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Marshall vs. Georgiabacked Marshall · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.