MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2bec64cf76a0963aae58ea43b1b4dcda6a484639b15f094af41e88c836c0916
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 15c | 22,489$3,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,321.1 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Blue Jays | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Rays | 51c | 14,322$7,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,304.3 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Rays | 50c | 13,077$6,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,538.47 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays | 23c | 10,217$2,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.16 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Blue Jays | 50c | 6,424$3,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,212.09 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rays | 50c | 3,929$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.5 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rays | 51c | 3,270$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.7 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Rays | 16c | 3,191$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.28 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rays | 9c | 2,777$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.53 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…cb7dbacked Rays | 51c | 2,762$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rays | 12c | 2,199$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.91 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 75c | 2,078$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.1 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Blue Jays | 57c | 1,769$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.33 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Blue Jays | 50c | 1,744$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.05 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…f49bbacked Rays | 51c | 1,744$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rays | 50c | 1,382$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.07 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 1,203$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.76 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Blue Jays | 52c | 1,200$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Rays | 30c | 1,177$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.85 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ce…f74dbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.58 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Blue Jays | 64c | 889.2$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.61 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Rays | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Rays | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rays | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Blue Jays | 49c | 694.83$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.89 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rays | 13c | 549.81$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.73 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Rays | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Rays | 49c | 499.95$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.97 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 447.16$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.58 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 408.43$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.25 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rays | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rays | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Blue Jays | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rays | 21c | 399.61$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.36 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Blue Jays | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…5014backed Blue Jays | 50c | 372.03$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.02 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Rays | 19c | 370.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce9…a751backed Blue Jays | 80c | 370$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Blue Jays | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Blue Jays | 49c | 295$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.45 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays | 77c | 292.46$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Rays | 21c | 281.68$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Rays | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rays | 15c | 252.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Rays | 22c | 246.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…b955backed Blue Jays | 49c | 222$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.22 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 210.2$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.1 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rays | 11c | 209.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Rays | 15c | 205$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe0…2576backed Rays | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -75%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Blue Jays | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Blue Jays | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe708…e61cbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9023…54bbbacked Rays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Rays | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Blue Jays | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Rays | 51c | 184.31$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Blue Jays | 75c | 183$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Blue Jays | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked Rays | 19c | 177.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8255…035ebacked Rays | 30c | 170$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -6.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Blue Jays | 50c | 162$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Blue Jays | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Blue Jays | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Rays | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rays | 15c | 138$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Rays | 22c | 131.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Rays | 50c | 111.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Blue Jays | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…897cbacked Rays | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…202ebacked Blue Jays | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…6df6backed Blue Jays | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6283…576bbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…9403backed Rays | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Rays | 47c | 97.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791c…7910backed Rays | 24c | 81.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…1880backed Blue Jays | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b36…bb52backed Blue Jays | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Rays | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Rays | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Rays | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 536 | 39.9%214 W · 322 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Rays | 51c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Blue Jays | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Rays | 50c | 51.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blue Jays | 64c | 51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Blue Jays | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Blue Jays | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffbc…b889backed Blue Jays | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jays vs. Raysthis page
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 12.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.