NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f2ba7a4430ed89b9940ff4e14c9d497a864cc5676294e68326976410c4cfa8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Panthers, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $382,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $402,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $382,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 510 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Panthers | 40c | 45,210$17,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,904.79 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Panthers | 53c | 44,444$23,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,555.22 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 21,959$10,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,658.3 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 20,261$9,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,787.62 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Panthers | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers | 53c | 16,104$8,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,465.17 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,949.99 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 10,998$5,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,873.33 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Maple Leafs | 77c | 10,651$8,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.11 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 10,487$4,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,696.99 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e33…396abacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 10,001$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32fb…90b3backed Panthers | 54c | 9,994$5,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,396.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…48a9backed Panthers | 10c | 8,806$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.26 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Panthers | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.98 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 6,377$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,507.17 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 6,006$2,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,123.25 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Panthers | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Panthers | 0c | 5,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Panthers | 17c | 4,612$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.96 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Panthers | 33c | 4,552$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.54 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Panthers | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…102ebacked Panthers | 54c | 4,500$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…f94abacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 4,491$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.14 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Panthers | 32c | 4,066$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.26 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers | 53c | 4,003$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.64 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 3,911$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.81 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Panthers | 12c | 3,802$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 3,472$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.65 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 3,429$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.05 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Panthers | 54c | 3,399$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.75 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Panthers | 53c | 3,200$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.92 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Panthers | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.97 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.97 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Panthers | 38c | 2,860$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.22 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Panthers | 54c | 2,775$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.51 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Panthers | 53c | 2,539$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.65 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 2,450$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.78 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…5fcebacked Maple Leafs | 78c | 2,424$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0190…4778backed Panthers | 55c | 2,214$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 2,200$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Panthers | 55c | 2,130$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.41 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd7…cd86backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37af…4086backed Panthers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf09c…383dbacked Panthers | 12c | 1,967$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa67f…35a4backed Panthers | 55c | 1,900$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Panthers | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.1 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,863$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.66 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,810$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.38 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f2…becebacked Panthers | 54c | 1,800$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0c32backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,800$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.95 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,796$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.97 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Panthers | 28c | 1,791$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.76 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Panthers | 6c | 1,777$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.33 | 140 | 12.9%18 W · 122 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,700$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.79 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,594$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.72 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,587$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.18 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1d…3ee4backed Panthers | 4c | 1,540$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,526$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.93 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Panthers | 32c | 1,507$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…2037backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 1,496$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.55 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 1,494$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.45 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x594f…392cbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,400$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,335$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.64 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,321$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.03 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,283$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.29 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Panthers | 54c | 1,243$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.33 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Panthers | 54c | 1,233$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Panthers | 1c | 1,227$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,166$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.55 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3674…77d5backed Panthers | 55c | 1,104$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…f4f2backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4769…2ea2backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…1134backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.41per pick | 49cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 1,100$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.99 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Panthers | 2c | 1,093$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…35aebacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,091$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf330…f779backed Panthers | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd05…edf7backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,089$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,080$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.57 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc041…3becbacked Panthers | 55c | 1,076$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…d7aabacked Panthers | 54c | 1,076$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…4a7fbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Panthers | 20c | 1,010$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.14 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…5109backed Panthers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Panthers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…3d3abacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…c473backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Panthers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad6d…f064backed Panthers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…67b1backed Panthers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1882…ba8bbacked Panthers | 54c | 999.94$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 999.87$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.93 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4874…7123backed Panthers | 54c | 984.74$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.76 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…49a2backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 984.74$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.76 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9ed3backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 982.83$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…e977backed Panthers | 54c | 963.07$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.