Champions League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4d0cada597290b2759f0ef527562b9d61f009fbcc3b56fd21ff828d0d43423d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $383,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $363,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $383,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 32c | 82,482$25,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,994.56 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…68eebacked No | 71c | 36,000$25,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,439.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes | 31c | 22,135$6,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,861.94 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…f09cbacked No | 69c | 19,941$13,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,181.61 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 68c | 16,282$11,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,210.13 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 68c | 15,695$10,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,988.36 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 32c | 10,517$3,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350.59 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…e4a7backed Yes | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 68c | 9,836$6,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,108.79 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 30c | 8,700$2,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,613.58 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…469bbacked Yes | 41c | 8,159$3,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,330.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 1c | 7,882$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Yes | 29c | 6,897$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 72c | 6,528$4,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.4 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 69c | 6,172$4,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.41 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 14c | 6,113$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.89 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 29c | 6,100$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.99 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 5c | 6,000$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Yes | 33c | 5,577$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.48 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 30c | 4,923$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.85 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Yes | 9c | 4,007$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.29 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 15c | 3,605$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.65 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…dc41backed Yes | 31c | 3,400$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 28cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 71c | 3,293$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.01 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Yes | 30c | 3,110$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.03 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.39per pick | 49cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 22c | 3,106$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.81 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed No | 71c | 3,041$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.01 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.69 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 29c | 2,972$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.88 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a90…e183backed Yes | 31c | 2,863$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1f…efbcbacked No | 70c | 2,857$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed No | 69c | 2,821$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.55 | 129 | 21.7%28 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Yes | 31c | 2,814$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.95 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f5…4d6dbacked Yes | 32c | 2,784$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c52…54fdbacked Yes | 7c | 2,701$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…4659backed Yes | 3c | 2,580$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2951…8f9fbacked Yes | 31c | 2,457$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.03 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…5de5backed Yes | 31c | 2,305$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…10a0backed Yes | 13c | 2,302$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…6bfabacked Yes | 13c | 2,072$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…4280backed Yes | 24c | 2,055$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 67c | 2,010$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.7 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,984$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.89 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 32c | 1,880$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.57 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked No | 72c | 1,845$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.29 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,801$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,729$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.74 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 24c | 1,700$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.65 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 27c | 1,664$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed Yes | 31c | 1,504$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 8c | 1,482$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.99 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…a314backed No | 72c | 1,462$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4eb…161fbacked Yes | 28c | 1,462$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x763f…81e9backed No | 69c | 1,448$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.77 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…e5ecbacked Yes | 32c | 1,300$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…c084backed No | 69c | 1,278$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca01…c62fbacked Yes | 31c | 1,278$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 3c | 1,250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 30c | 1,220$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.6 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 14c | 1,212$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.35 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed Yes | 32c | 1,181$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 70c | 1,163$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.94 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 32c | 1,122$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.19 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c99…38febacked Yes | 30c | 1,118$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…395abacked Yes | 16c | 1,094$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…1678backed Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93f…a0eebacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ef…4e15backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 1c | 980$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dc…0bc1backed Yes | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…58c3backed No | 72c | 965$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969c…87e6backed Yes | 33c | 946.71$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 28c | 881.06$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.7 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 69c | 868$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.08 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 71c | 837.31$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.92 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac18…2e72backed No | 71c | 830.55$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf17…da31backed Yes | 40c | 714.38$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d31…6e13backed Yes | 28c | 710.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…9bb7backed Yes | 29c | 680.9$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…69b2backed Yes | 15c | 672.52$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 6c | 661.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yes | 19c | 651.72$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +147.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1686…e51fbacked Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a7…303dbacked Yes | 31c | 641.94$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Yes | 32c | 637.59$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…35e6backed No | 71c | 597.18$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.18 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes | 38c | 588.57$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.48 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…f088backed Yes | 20c | 585.2$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…3696backed Yes | 2c | 532.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…0898backed Yes | 32c | 531.25$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…1033backed Yes | 19c | 525.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe0…2576backed Yes | 11c | 500$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 6c | 500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…1d09backed Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Yes | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…2cbebacked No | 72c | 485$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d25…4f9fbacked Yes | 28c | 471.93$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-07?this page
- Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Arsenal end in a draw?No won
- Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.