Champions League · resolved market
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb110751f464227779c659deadc4b177030c4c69548b39a3a9316be153696efd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $788,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $905,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $788,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 406 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed No | 59c | 170,935$100,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,851.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3196…146fbacked Yes | 46c | 87,080$40,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,023.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 57c | 40,129$22,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,869.03 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 43c | 23,388$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,387.95 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…c0dfbacked Yes | 44c | 22,093$9,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,386.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 60c | 21,455$12,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,597.85 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 48c | 20,826$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,899.67 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…4659backed No | 37c | 20,637$7,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,652.89 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 47c | 19,956$9,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,513.72 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 45c | 19,000$8,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,492.02 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 47c | 18,085$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,585.11 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Yes | 43c | 13,734$5,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,828.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 43c | 11,879$5,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,080.52 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2f…8baebacked Yes | 44c | 11,370$5,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,367.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de1…6b5abacked Yes | 48c | 10,766$5,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,574.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eed…3195backed No | 58c | 10,594$6,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,144.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 52c | 9,244$4,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,812.18 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc814…dc7cbacked Yes | 41c | 9,135$3,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,389.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 41c | 8,000$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,720 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 4c | 7,005$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.19 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 41c | 7,001$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,130.33 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Yes | 42c | 6,567$2,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,808.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed No | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.97 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed Yes | 66c | 5,678$3,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.54 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 41c | 5,561$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,281.16 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…b8adbacked Yes | 43c | 5,422$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ac2bbacked Yes | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked No | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…1390backed Yes | 43c | 4,916$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 45c | 4,546$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.23 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 56c | 4,509$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.22 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 6c | 4,262$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.8 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked No | 9c | 4,242$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.16 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a3…93babacked Yes | 66c | 3,966$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 43c | 3,961$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,257.84 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 55c | 3,753$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.3 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 56c | 3,576$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.98 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa357…6485backed Yes | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…f09cbacked Yes | 41c | 3,344$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.88 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Yes | 44c | 3,300$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 72c | 3,289$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.64 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 44c | 3,251$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.13 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 70c | 3,198$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.76 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2392…0d4bbacked No | 21c | 3,147$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed No | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.98 | 129 | 21.7%28 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Yes | 44c | 2,970$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.45 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked No | 54c | 2,897$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 8c | 2,819$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.27 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 41c | 2,709$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.85 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 46c | 2,590$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.53 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed No | 59c | 2,392$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.29 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 41c | 2,391$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.52 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…05d0backed Yes | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 44c | 2,323$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.73 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 45c | 2,305$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.8 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 53c | 2,208$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.76 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked No | 29c | 2,177$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.28 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a2…962abacked Yes | 42c | 2,169$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 43c | 1,950$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.22 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…9594backed No | 57c | 1,911$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x179c…2d61backed Yes | 46c | 1,896$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…8f37backed No | 54c | 1,896$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…da1abacked No | 57c | 1,825$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb00…528abacked No | 57c | 1,770$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f52…c6e0backed No | 57c | 1,750$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ba…f893backed No | 57c | 1,739$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e05…01cdbacked Yes | 69c | 1,737$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ad…211bbacked No | 57c | 1,735$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 44c | 1,705$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.55 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 60c | 1,600$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…5827backed Yes | 43c | 1,512$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 43c | 1,500$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…9fd9backed Yes | 44c | 1,494$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04e2…a455backed Yes | 42c | 1,471$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…3bacbacked Yes | 42c | 1,400$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 43c | 1,218$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.73 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 55c | 1,212$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.6 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed No | 23c | 1,115$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4d…c3d4backed Yes | 44c | 1,114$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed No | 56c | 1,111$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.16 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…44a4backed Yes | 43c | 1,100$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Yes | 69c | 1,027$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked No | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x716c…65cabacked No | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce6…f2e7backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…e5ecbacked Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed No | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed No | 67c | 999.97$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.98 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 54c | 999.96$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.98 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c0…659ebacked Yes | 44c | 999$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 56c | 988.14$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.36 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed No | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd68…746abacked Yes | 42c | 857$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…251ebacked No | 34c | 813.18$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 43c | 751.65$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.44 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-07?this page
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-07?No won
- Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Arsenal end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.