Champions League · resolved market
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Arsenal end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9467d708908568d3547473e75058d871d6481665bba095620d5f08e323d90a57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $307,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $308,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa168…f07bbacked No | 73c | 153,000$111,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,310 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x173f…3d44backed Yes | 27c | 153,000$41,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,310 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Yes | 28c | 85,608$23,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,970.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…4659backed No | 72c | 40,829$29,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,348.58 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 72c | 13,425$9,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,759.1 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…c0dfbacked Yes | 28c | 10,686$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,991.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…50bfbacked No | 74c | 9,994$7,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 72c | 9,877$7,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,765.49 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06bf…a9ddbacked Yes | 26c | 9,733$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 73c | 8,021$5,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.62 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba39…f0dfbacked Yes | 29c | 7,886$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 73c | 2,541$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.51 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 76c | 2,084$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.69 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…cfc1backed Yes | 27c | 1,850$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.6 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ac2bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,800$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 23c | 1,768$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…5827backed Yes | 28c | 1,757$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 72c | 1,664$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.91 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5c…903dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,429$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 72c | 1,394$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.32 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…4280backed Yes | 19c | 1,287$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Yes | 28c | 892.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 76c | 845.83$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 2c | 801.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb8…9ab0backed Yes | 27c | 800$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 24c | 738.54$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 27c | 657$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.96 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 27c | 630$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 26c | 621.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.49 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 72c | 614.06$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.06 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccfb…376ebacked No | 73c | 600$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 76c | 576.04$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.47 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 21c | 555$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 76c | 547.33$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.36 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked No | 74c | 531.68$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x716c…65cabacked Yes | 17c | 500$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes | 27c | 460.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 7c | 456.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed No | 77c | 443.02$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…10a0backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b51…9c96backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…92a9backed Yes | 14c | 342.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…b091backed No | 72c | 310$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…b756backed Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 73c | 298.88$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14be…e4bfbacked Yes | 28c | 296.43$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 73c | 295.55$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…f088backed Yes | 27c | 285.19$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3a…544fbacked Yes | 26c | 251$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbec…8178backed No | 74c | 219$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…a7eabacked Yes | 26c | 219$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…78b4backed Yes | 6c | 216.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 75c | 202.97$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29da…4d30backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…395abacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 27c | 185.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…5e3dbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…a4b2backed Yes | 7c | 170$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6a…62c5backed Yes | 27c | 166.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 72c | 156.86$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ce…814abacked Yes | 26c | 156.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ab…144dbacked Yes | 27c | 146.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdba…fbb8backed No | 73c | 136.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfc…0382backed Yes | 27c | 135$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c2…2b38backed No | 73c | 135$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 28c | 131.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 17c | 129.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 28c | 128.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3121…fc58backed Yes | 24c | 122.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3180…2634backed Yes | 22c | 117.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586c…b6b5backed Yes | 19c | 114.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…15ddbacked No | 75c | 113.21$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…7e65backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7054…22dbbacked Yes | 26c | 110.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed Yes | 18c | 105$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…63e0backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…2227backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93f…a0eebacked Yes | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…141ebacked Yes | 28c | 98.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 73c | 94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f9…f503backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17aa…4fa6backed Yes | 22c | 85.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…67a8backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1655…5d15backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c4…6b1abacked Yes | 25c | 80.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fc…b47dbacked No | 74c | 74.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 288 | 40.3%116 W · 172 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…fed3backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x990f…fe6fbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 28c | 71.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…ead6backed Yes | 27c | 71.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…42e3backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Arsenal end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-07?No won
- Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.